Anshari TaslimThe National Basketball Association continues to operate as a year-round entity, with significant developments unfolding even in mid-July. Recent days have seen news emerge from the Summer League, including San Antonio’s Victor Wembanyama reportedly mirroring Jalen Brunson’s developmental blueprint and Miami’s Bam Adebayo engaging in an altercation with Tyler Herro. Meanwhile, the league’s most significant unresolved storyline remains the free agency of LeBron James.
At 41 years old, James’s decision marks the fourth such pivotal moment in his career and continues to dominate headlines, overshadowing other major summer transactions. These include Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jaylen Brown, LaMelo Ball, and Kawhi Leonard reportedly joining new franchises. Speculation regarding James’s destination has seen shifts, with Cleveland initially appearing to be a strong contender, followed by a surge in Miami’s favor in prediction markets, and now a renewed push from early favorites Golden State.
Regardless of his eventual landing spot, James is expected to significantly influence the championship landscape. His continued high level of play ensures that any team acquiring his services, particularly those already poised for contention (with Golden State being a potential exception), will experience a substantial impact. The degree to which he shifts the competitive balance will depend on the roster he joins. This initial set of power rankings, compiled on July 13, 2026, provides a snapshot of the NBA’s hierarchy before James’s decision, factoring in all non-LeBron player movements and current roster configurations. A revised ranking will follow his signing to assess the full extent of his influence.
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NBA Power Rankings — July 13, 2026
1. San Antonio Spurs
The San Antonio Spurs enter the 2026-27 season atop the rankings following a remarkable 2025-26 campaign that saw them unexpectedly advance to the NBA Finals. They navigated a challenging Western Conference Finals, overcoming the Oklahoma City Thunder in a decisive Game 7 on the road. Despite ultimately falling short in the Finals against the New York Knicks, the Spurs held the lead for over 72% of the total minutes played in that series, a significant achievement for a team that was projected merely to qualify for the playoffs a year prior.
The core strength of the Spurs lies in the anticipated continued development of their young stars. Victor Wembanyama, who has yet to fully establish a consistent go-to scoring zone, is expected to make further strides. Rookies Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper, the latter experiencing a breakout performance during the 2026 playoffs, are also projected for increased impact. The re-signing of Julian Champagnie is crucial for maintaining vital floor spacing. De’Aaron Fox, despite a challenging Finals performance, remains a valuable asset, providing reliable half-court offense and All-Star level production. The team’s decision not to panic following Harper’s emergence underscores a strategic approach to depth, which is increasingly vital in the contemporary NBA. The collective growth of Wembanyama, Castle, and Harper, all still on rookie contracts, provides the Spurs with significant financial flexibility and room for internal improvement. Their recent playoff experience against elite competition is expected to serve as a crucial learning curve, particularly in closing out tight contests.
2. New York Knicks
The New York Knicks, despite winning 13 consecutive playoff games and concluding their 2025-26 postseason with a 15-1 run after an initial 2-1 deficit against Atlanta in the first round, find themselves narrowly behind the Spurs. The acquisition of Jaylen Brown, a significant offseason move, has bolstered a roster that demonstrated exceptional resilience and chemistry. While the loss of Mitchell Robinson presents a challenge, the addition of Andre Drummond, who offers comparable rebounding prowess and improved free-throw shooting, is expected to mitigate this impact.
Jalen Brunson’s leadership and clutch performance capabilities remain central to the Knicks’ identity, supported by Karl-Anthony Towns, who successfully embraced a supportive superstar role throughout the postseason. The team’s extensive array of versatile wings, defensive acumen, and collective shooting, all utilized effectively by coach Mike Brown, are largely intact. The proven success of their system at the highest level provides the Knicks with a profound sense of confidence, enabling them to navigate challenging situations and enter every game with the belief they are the superior team. While their confidence is well-founded, the Spurs’ marginal lead in Finals minutes played and their greater potential for growth position them slightly ahead in these initial rankings.
3. Oklahoma City Thunder
The Oklahoma City Thunder, despite a strong 2025-26 season, were eliminated by the Spurs in the Western Conference Finals, a series they believe could have swung in their favor had Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell been healthy. Furthermore, Chet Holmgren’s performance against Victor Wembanyama was noted as a potential turning point. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to demonstrate greater efficiency if the two teams meet again.
The Thunder’s roster is considered closer to its finished product compared to the Spurs’ developing core. The departures of Isaiah Joe and Andrew Wiggins, while the latter had fallen out of the playoff rotation, represent tangible losses. Cason Wallace is projected for continued ascent, and rookies Aday Mara and Bennett Stirtz could provide immediate impact, with Stirtz potentially replacing Joe’s bench shooting and Mara offering frontcourt depth alongside Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein. Holmgren remains the team’s X-factor; his development as a self-creator and elite rim protector positions him as Wembanyama’s primary rival. His ability to close the performance gap in a head-to-head series will be a defining storyline should the two Western Conference powerhouses clash again.
4. Indiana Pacers
The Indiana Pacers, returning largely the same roster that pushed the Thunder to a Game 7 in the Finals two years prior and were a strong contender for the title before Tyrese Haliburton’s Achilles injury, are poised for a strong showing. While Haliburton may require time to regain his full rhythm, the team’s foundation remains robust. The previous loss of Myles Turner has been addressed by the acquisition of Ivica Zubac, an effective big man, though his non-shooting presence may necessitate tactical adjustments to maintain spacing.
The Pacers are expected to maintain their high-tempo offensive style, with Kelly Oubre Jr. providing an immediate scoring boost in transition. The team’s depth, wing talent, defensive capabilities, and elite point guard play are projected to be key strengths. This ranking reflects a significant bet on Haliburton’s capacity to create a high-efficiency offensive environment. Andrew Nembhard and Aaron Nesmith are anticipated to continue their strong two-way play, while Pascal Siakam, who was on the cusp of All-NBA honors last season, further strengthens the roster. The Pacers, re-energized after a gap year, are expected to contend at the forefront of the Eastern Conference.
5. Toronto Raptors
This ranking is contingent on the completion of the Kawhi Leonard trade, currently under league investigation for potential salary-cap circumvention. Assuming Leonard’s return to Toronto, the Raptors undergo a significant upgrade. Last season, the team was 10 points worse per 100 possessions with Brandon Ingram on the floor, per Cleaning the Glass, and Ingram struggled in the playoffs as a methodical scorer clashing with the team’s desired fast-paced style.
Swapping Ingram for Leonard is a substantial improvement for a team that won 46 games last season and extended the Cavaliers to seven games in the playoffs. Leonard is coming off arguably the healthiest and most productive regular season of his career, averaging nearly 28 points, 6 rebounds, and 4 assists on impressive .500/.400/.900 shooting splits over 65 games. His ability to maintain this health will be crucial. His presence provides the elite, consistent half-court offense the Raptors lacked, relieving Scottie Barnes of the primary scoring burden. Retaining RJ Barrett was also a key move. The Raptors now possess an elite scorer, an elite defense, an All-NBA caliber secondary option in Barnes, a balanced blend of youth and experience, deep reserves, and strong team chemistry.
6. Minnesota Timberwolves
The Minnesota Timberwolves’ trajectory hinges on LaMelo Ball’s ability to transition from an entertaining offensive talent to a consistently impactful player capable of thriving under playoff physicality. Ball, previously central to Charlotte’s offense, now joins a team where he is arguably the fourth-best player, reducing his offensive burden.
The Timberwolves provide a robust defensive infrastructure, potentially enabling Ball to improve his defensive engagement and leverage his size and instincts. With Ball’s pace and passing creating high-quality looks, Anthony Edwards is expected to benefit from more catch-and-shoot opportunities, alleviating the initiation duties that led to frequent traps and double-teams in last year’s playoffs. This fit is perceived as highly beneficial for Minnesota, injecting much-needed pace and offensive dynamism around Edwards. Should the Timberwolves somehow acquire LeBron James, they would instantly become a major contender, but their current potential rests on Ball’s successful integration and development within this supportive environment.
7. Boston Celtics
With the Jaylen Brown trade now finalized, the Boston Celtics are positioned to be an improved team compared to their 2025-26 iteration, which secured 56 wins and the East’s No. 2 seed. The move, while parting with a top-20 player, was primarily financially motivated, addressing the allocation of 35% of the cap to a player not deemed quite worth that value alongside Jayson Tatum’s similar salary.
Paul George, though earning a comparable salary to Brown, is on a shorter deal and offers superior catch-and-shoot capabilities, fitting seamlessly into Boston’s drive-and-kick offense with a lower usage rate, freeing up opportunities for Tatum and Payton Pritchard. The addition of Mitchell Robinson, an elite offensive rebounder, further enhances Boston’s possession game. Tatum, effectively returning to full strength after an injury-affected 2025-26 season, represents a significant upgrade from Brown. Robinson replaces Nikola Vučević, and George replaces Anfernee Simons, collectively improving the roster. Despite the Eastern Conference’s overall strengthening and a notable gap in stretch bigs, the Celtics’ strategic moves, including maintaining significant cap flexibility and trade exceptions, position them for continued competitiveness under President of Basketball Operations Brad Stevens.
8. Philadelphia 76ers
The Philadelphia 76ers possess an abundance of top-tier talent, making them a 1A title contender on paper. Their projected "Big 4" of Tyrese Maxey, V.J. Edgecombe, Jaylen Brown, and Joel Embiid is among the league’s most formidable when healthy. However, questions regarding offensive fit and ball-dominance loom. Brown’s 36.2% usage rate last season, the second-highest in the league and a Celtics franchise record, indicates a strong preference for ball-handling. This presents a potential conflict with Maxey and Embiid, who also require significant on-ball opportunities.
While a collaborative offensive scheme is theoretically possible, immediate synergy is not guaranteed. Maxey is the primary ball-handler, but Brown’s desire for touches, combined with Embiid’s deliberate post-up play, could lead to a "my turn, your turn" offense. Despite these fit concerns, the sheer talent of the top four, complemented by Dean Wade as a capable fifth starter and bench depth including Anfernee Simons and Dominick Barlow, is undeniable. The potential addition of LeBron James would further exacerbate ball-handling issues and spacing concerns, as few of these players are elite knockdown shooters outside of Maxey. Embiid’s perennial health concerns remain a significant variable impacting the team’s long-term playoff outlook.
9. Los Angeles Lakers
The Los Angeles Lakers’ acquisition of Walker Kessler, while providing a valuable lob threat and rim protector, came at a steep price of two future first-round picks and two future swaps, depleting their draft capital for further roster improvements, particularly on the wing. The departure of LeBron James, Marcus Smart, Luke Kennard, and Rui Hachimura signifies a considerable loss of shooting for a team already in the bottom ten for three-pointers made per game.
However, the team’s upside rests heavily on Luka Dončić’s exceptional playmaking and scoring ability, which can compensate for numerous roster deficiencies. Dončić and Austin Reaves demonstrated extraordinary chemistry as a duo (+8.3 net rating without James last season, per CTG), and this tandem is now anchored by Kessler instead of Deandre Ayton. The additions of Quentin Grimes and Collin Sexton provide valuable secondary and bench scoring. While wing depth and perimeter defense remain significant weaknesses, Dončić’s individual brilliance is expected to elevate the Lakers to a top-10 team in the regular season. Despite this, their capacity to challenge the wing-heavy rosters of San Antonio and Oklahoma City in the Western Conference playoffs is highly questionable without further significant roster enhancements.
10. Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets, despite boasting Nikola Jokić, widely considered the world’s best player, appear to be on a slight descent from their championship-contending peak. Their first-round exit in the 2026 playoffs, while potentially attributable to Aaron Gordon’s health, cannot be entirely dismissed. The challenge of defending Jokić in a playoff series, particularly against a player like Rudy Gobert, highlighted specific vulnerabilities.
Future roster construction presents a hurdle, as retaining Peyton Watson will likely push the Nuggets over the prohibitive second apron, potentially incurring luxury tax penalties exceeding $400 million for a team that did not advance past the first round last season. While the Nuggets have been linked to LeBron James, his acquisition is highly improbable. Ultimately, Denver, at full strength, remains a formidable opponent, but they are no longer viewed as being on the absolute top shelf of championship contenders.
11. Miami Heat
The Miami Heat are projected to be a formidable defensive and transition-oriented team, yet their half-court offensive challenges prevent them from cracking the top ten. Coach Erik Spoelstra is renowned for maximizing his roster, but the current composition presents significant spacing issues with non-shooting bigs in Bam Adebayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo, and a non-shooting point guard in Davion Mitchell. While Adebayo has expanded his range, defenses are generally content to allow him to shoot from deep, and Mitchell’s percentages are volume-dependent. The loss of Norman Powell further exacerbates the scoring deficit.
Despite these limitations, Miami’s defensive intensity and commitment to fast-break play will make them a difficult matchup. They will likely emphasize three-point shooting from surrounding players. The hypothetical addition of LeBron James would introduce another major talent and somewhat alleviate spacing issues, though like Antetokounmpo, he would also find driving lanes potentially congested. The Heat’s path to elite status requires addressing their half-court scoring deficiencies.
12. Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cleveland Cavaliers, a conference finals team in 2025-26 with their core roster returning, find themselves in a relatively lower position due to questions about their playoff ceiling. Their arduous seven-game first-round series against the Raptors last season, combined with Toronto’s potential acquisition of Kawhi Leonard, suggests a tougher path forward. In a hypothetical rematch, the Cavaliers could face an early exit.
Comparing them to the Heat, Cleveland’s roster possesses greater collective talent, but Miami’s playoff resilience is often preferred. Teams featuring James Harden, even when he is not the primary star, have historically struggled at the highest playoff levels. The potential addition of LeBron James would undoubtedly elevate the Cavaliers’ ranking, yet it would not create a perfectly optimized offensive scheme. The ball-dominant styles of Donovan Mitchell, James, and Harden could lead to role redundancy, potentially marginalizing Evan Mobley and forcing excessive three-point volume from league-average shooters. While a "good problem to have" for staggering lineups, their co-existence in crunch time presents a significant tactical challenge.
13. Detroit Pistons
The Detroit Pistons’ offseason has involved strategic moves to create cap flexibility, though they have yet to re-sign Jalen Duren, a key component. The failure to land Norman Powell, an elite shooter and secondary scorer for Cade Cunningham, was a missed opportunity. Marginal acquisitions, including Gary Harris and Taurean Prince via an expanded deal sending Isaiah Stewart and Marcus Sasser to Memphis and Dallas respectively, have primarily served to trim money under the first-apron hard cap.
Isaiah Joe provides much-needed shooting, and John Collins has rediscovered his three-point stroke, particularly from the corner. However, the team has also lost Tobias Harris and Caris LeVert. Assuming Duren is re-signed, the Pistons retain the core of a team that achieved 60 wins last season, along with decent depth. Yet, with other Eastern Conference teams making significant improvements, merely maintaining their current state effectively means a step backward. The Pistons possess substantial cap space, trade exceptions, and all their draft picks, indicating that further "home-run" moves, such as for Trey Murphy III, Tyler Herro, or Michael Porter Jr., could still be in the works. Their ultimate ranking depends heavily on these potential, yet unconfirmed, future transactions.
14. Houston Rockets
The Houston Rockets, despite a roster brimming with talent, find themselves in the bottom half of these deep NBA power rankings. Their struggles in the latter half of the 2025-26 season were largely attributed to a lack of coherent half-court offense, a problem addressed by the return of Fred VanVleet and the addition of Marcus Smart for the second unit. Steven Adams’ projected return will also bolster their offensive rebounding, a critical component for bailing out inefficient possessions.
Kevin Durant’s presence, while providing elite scoring, has become a common denominator in teams that underwhelm in overall system efficiency, exhibiting a reliance on contested shot-making rather than fluid team play. For the Rockets to ascend, Alperen Şengün needs to consistently perform at an All-Star level, Reed Sheppard must make a significant leap, and Durant’s game cannot show signs of decline. The team possesses the raw talent to climb higher and the resources to make further improvements at the trade deadline.
15. Portland Trail Blazers
The acquisition of Ja Morant by the Portland Trail Blazers presents potential fit challenges, particularly alongside Damian Lillard. Morant, who thrives with the ball in his hands, could create redundancy with Lillard, echoing Milwaukee’s past struggles to play Lillard off-ball. Furthermore, this pairing creates a significant defensive liability in the backcourt for a team that built its identity on defense last season. The roles of Jrue Holiday, Scott Henderson, and Shaedon Sharpe become uncertain, with Holiday potentially moving to the bench or being traded, and Henderson’s development possibly stunted by reduced minutes.
Despite these concerns, the roster’s talent is undeniable, led by Deni Avdija, another ball-dominant straight-line driver. Lillard is projected for a strong season, and if Morant integrates effectively while the defense remains robust with Donovan Clingan, Tamari Camara, and Holiday, Portland could be a formidable team. The Blazers also possess significant draft capital to facilitate potential trade deadline acquisitions. Coach Micah Nori faces the challenge of harmonizing these numerous talented pieces.
16. Utah Jazz
The Utah Jazz are an intriguing team with significant offensive firepower, yet defensive questions temper their initial ranking. The backcourt pairing of Keyonte George and Darryn Peterson, particularly without Walker Kessler’s rim protection, raises concerns. However, the presence of Jaren Jackson Jr. as an elite rim protector and the team’s overall defensive length provide a strong foundation.
The Jazz demonstrated competitiveness in many games last season before strategically shifting focus, a move that yielded the No. 2 overall pick, Peterson. If Peterson makes an immediate impact, Utah could quickly ascend these rankings by mid-season. Their blend of offensive talent and defensive potential suggests they could contend for a top-six spot in the Western Conference.
17. Atlanta Hawks
The Atlanta Hawks bring back the core that took a 2-1 first-round series lead against the Knicks last season, supplemented by two potentially impactful additions. Aaron Wiggins, a player who fell out of Oklahoma City’s rotation due to their perimeter depth, represents a significant pickup, aligning with Atlanta’s developing strategy of acquiring two-way wings—a blueprint that has brought recent success to the Celtics, Thunder, and Knicks.
The second key addition is No. 8 overall pick Kingston Flemings, a lightning-fast athlete with exceptional court vision and ability to penetrate the defense. His defensive tenacity further solidifies Atlanta’s identity. This robust group of two-way wings, including Jalen Johnson, Dyson Daniels, Nickeil Alexander-Walker, Wiggins, and Zacharrie Risacher, combined with Onyeka Okongwu in the paint and Flemings at point guard, forms a formidable defensive unit. This infrastructure is designed to support CJ McCollum’s scoring and creation, allowing Johnson to continue his growth as an All-Star. The Hawks are a highly talented team with the potential for a significantly higher ranking as the season progresses.
18. Orlando Magic
The Orlando Magic are banking on improved health and substantial collective internal growth for the 2026-27 season, with Nikola Vučević as their only notable new addition to compete for backup center minutes. The team continues to grapple with perennial issues of shooting and overall scoring efficiency. Paolo Banchero’s efficiency as a primary scoring option remains a concern, and his fit alongside Franz Wagner is still somewhat clunky due to both players’ inconsistent shooting.
Despite these offensive challenges, the Magic won 45 games last season despite significant core injuries and pushed the Pistons to seven games in the playoffs. They can reasonably assert that a healthy roster, particularly with Wagner available, could have advanced further. Many pundits had projected Orlando as a top-three seed last season, and the team will be looking to fulfill that potential a year later.
19. Washington Wizards
Assuming the retention of Anthony Davis, the Washington Wizards project to field an imposing opening-night lineup of Trae Young, No. 1 overall pick AJ Dybantsa, Kyshawn George, Davis, and Alex Sarr. This lineup, notably large outside of Young, is supported by a talented bench featuring Bilal Coulibaly, Tre Johnson, Will Riley, Bub Carrington, and the recently acquired Deandre Ayton. The Wizards also re-acquired Khris Middleton in a complex six-team deal, which, through cap maneuvers, left them with an $11 million Mid-Level Exception, suggesting further moves are possible.
While the signing of Young to a substantial $212 million deal following his salary dump and the potential extension of Davis raise long-term financial and health concerns, the immediate talent is undeniable. The Wizards possess a roster capable of competing effectively on both ends of the floor. The primary question is whether their defensive infrastructure can sufficiently compensate for Young’s well-documented defensive limitations, especially in a suddenly stacked Eastern Conference. The Wizards currently project as a play-in team, with Davis’s health remaining a significant wildcard.
20. Charlotte Hornets
The Charlotte Hornets made a difficult decision to trade LaMelo Ball, a player who was instrumental in their successful second half of the 2025-26 season and generated considerable local excitement. In return for Ball, the Hornets acquired Naz Reid and will now look to Coby White at point guard, placing the team’s future squarely on the shoulders of Brandon Miller and Kon Kneuppel. The departure of Miles Bridges also removes a consistent offensive threat.
However, the Hornets bring back elite shooting in Grayson Allen and Royce O’Neale, though rumors suggest O’Neale could be part of a larger trade. While they ultimately fell short in the play-in tournament, Charlotte was genuinely one of the league’s better teams for an extended period last season, boasting a dominant starting lineup. The central question now is the extent to which that performance is sustainable without Ball’s unique creation abilities.
21. Golden State Warriors
Draymond Green’s decision to decline his $27.7 million player option initially signaled a potential pathway for LeBron James to join the Golden State Warriors. However, as James’s free agency progresses, this scenario appears increasingly unlikely. Despite potential desperation to acquire a package deal for Anthony Davis and LeBron, the Warriors have largely remained inactive this summer, their primary addition being No. 11 overall pick Yaxel Lendeborg.
This lack of significant moves means the Warriors will largely run back the same aging roster that finished 37-45 last season, albeit with injuries being a contributing factor. The departure of Quinten Post, while not a major loss in isolation, highlights the team’s minimal activity. Golden State’s strategy of holding out for a blockbuster superstar like Giannis Antetokounmpo or James has come at the expense of incremental roster improvements. The team’s age, size deficiencies, and Stephen Curry’s recent physical breakdowns present significant competitive hurdles. The Warriors’ current ranking reflects Curry’s enduring brilliance, but their true contention status hinges entirely on a highly improbable James acquisition.
22. Phoenix Suns
The Phoenix Suns’ offseason involved swapping Grayson Allen and Royce O’Neale for Miles Bridges, who is expected to provide greater athletic dynamism and rim pressure. The re-signing of Collin Gillespie and Jordan Goodwin on affordable contracts aligns with the contemporary strategy of building with balanced contracts. Luke Kennard is expected to replace some of the shooting volume lost with Allen and O’Neale, though he may not match their scoring output.
Phoenix was a positive story last season, with Dillon Brooks delivering strong performances and Jalen Green showing flashes of scoring talent, albeit needing improved shooting efficiency. Devin Booker may need to increase his three-point volume following the departures of Allen and O’Neale. The Suns possess a talented core capable of competing, but their depth and overall offensive consistency remain areas for development.
23. Dallas Mavericks
A new era has dawned in Dallas with Masai Ujiri taking over the front office and Dusty May replacing Jason Kidd as head coach. The team retains Kyrie Irving, and rookie Cooper Flagg is projected for an immediate All-NBA impact. In a league increasingly valuing wings, the Mavericks currently feature P.J. Washington and Naji Marshall, though their long-term status is subject to potential trades.
The center rotation includes Daniel Gafford, Dereck Lively III, and the recently acquired Santi Aldama, alongside No. 9 overall pick Morez Johnson Jr., who played under May at Michigan. The Mavericks’ roster is in a state of flux, with potential for further dismantling. Their ability to contend for a play-in berth will depend on Lively’s health and Johnson’s immediate contributions.
24. New Orleans Pelicans
The New Orleans Pelicans represent a paradoxical situation in the NBA’s deep talent pool. Their roster, featuring Zion Williamson, Trey Murphy III, Dejounte Murray, Derik Queen, Jeremiah Fears, Herb Jones, and Jordan Poole, is far from that of a genuinely "bad" team. At full health and potential, this rotation would not typically reside in the league’s lower echelons.
However, the Pelicans have consistently underperformed relative to their talent. Questions persist about the reported three draft picks they are seeking for Murphy III, and Williamson’s long-term fit and commitment to the franchise remain uncertain despite a quiet 2025-26 season where he averaged 21 points and 6 rebounds on 60% shooting over 62 games. His trade value may never be higher, especially considering his fit alongside Queen. The team’s strategy appears to align with the new lottery structure, which incentivizes finishing outside the bottom three but not necessarily contending for a high playoff seed, aiming for a record between the fourth and tenth worst.
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