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Las Vegas, NV – July 11, 2026 – The T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is poised to host UFC 329 this Saturday, marking the highly anticipated return of Conor McGregor to the Octagon after a five-year hiatus. The former two-division champion is slated to face Max Holloway in a compelling rematch that headlines a 14-fight card, a significant event following the recent UFC White House fixture. For enthusiasts looking to engage with the event through predictive markets, Kalshi, a federally regulated event contract exchange, is offering a special promotion: new users can secure a $15 trading bonus after making $15 worth of trades by utilizing the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS.
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The main card is scheduled to commence at 9 p.m. ET and will be streamed exclusively on Paramount+. This event represents the first time McGregor and Holloway have met since their initial encounter on August 17, 2013, during a UFC Fight Night card, where McGregor secured a victory. Both fighters subsequently ascended to championship status in the UFC, making this rematch a decade-plus in the making and a pivotal moment in both their careers.
Navigating UFC 329 Trading on Kalshi
Kalshi provides a distinct platform for fans to engage with UFC 329, operating as a federally regulated event contract exchange accessible across all 50 U.S. states and Washington D.C. The process for new users to participate and claim the $15 trading bonus after $15 in trades is straightforward. By signing up and applying the Kalshi referral code CBSSPORTS, traders can access a wide array of markets for the McGregor vs. Holloway 2 event and the full UFC 329 card. These markets extend beyond simple fight winners, including options for method of victory, fight duration, and specific rounds of finish, offering a comprehensive trading experience.
Key Matchup Pricing and Dynamics
The return of Conor McGregor, often regarded as the biggest star in UFC history, inevitably draws immense attention. However, Kalshi’s event contract prices for UFC 329 reflect a cautious outlook on his chances following a prolonged period of inactivity. McGregor is currently priced at $0.28 per share to win, contrasting sharply with Max Holloway, who trades at $0.72 per share. This disparity largely stems from Holloway’s consistent activity, having competed eight times since McGregor’s last bout in July 2021, a first-round TKO loss to Dustin Poirier.
The co-main event features another highly anticipated clash between Paddy Pimblett and Benoit Saint Denis. Pimblett, an English fighter frequently compared to McGregor for his charisma and fan appeal, enters this fight as the underdog, priced at $0.46 per share. His opponent, Benoit Saint Denis, is favored at $0.54 per share.
Below is a detailed breakdown of the Kalshi prices for the main card bouts:
| Fight | Pricing per share |
|---|---|
| Conor McGregor vs. Max Holloway | Holloway $0.72, McGregor $0.28 |
| Benoit Saint Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett | Saint Denis $0.54, Pimblett $0.46 |
| Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista | Sandhagen $0.56, Bautista $0.44 |
| Brandon Royval vs. Lone’er Kavanagh | Kavanagh $0.68, Royval $0.32 |
| King Green vs. Terrance McKinney | McKinney $0.49, Green $0.51 |
(Click on the prices to trade now via Kalshi)
Main Event Breakdown: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
This welterweight clash marks a significant departure from their 2013 featherweight encounter. Conor McGregor (22-6), now 37, stands at 5’9" with a 74" reach, representing Ireland. His last professional fight was a first-round TKO loss to Dustin Poirier in July 2021, which concluded his active period in the sport. The extended layoff raises questions about his ring rust and adaptation to the welterweight division, where he has historically shown mixed results.
Max Holloway (27-9), at 34 years old, stands 5’11" with a 69" reach, representing the USA. A former UFC Featherweight and BMF champion, Holloway has maintained a high level of competition. While he is coming off a loss to Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 in March, his consistent presence in high-stakes bouts over the past five years demonstrates superior fight rhythm and conditioning compared to McGregor. The Kalshi pricing strongly reflects Holloway’s recent activity and proven durability against top-tier opponents.
Co-Main Event: Pimblett vs. Saint Denis
Paddy Pimblett (23-4), the 31-year-old Englishman, measures 5’10" with a 73" reach. He faces a critical juncture in his career after his nine-fight winning streak was snapped by Justin Gaethje at UFC 324 in January. This marked his first loss in the UFC and his first professional defeat since 2018. Pimblett has never suffered back-to-back losses, adding significant pressure to his performance against Saint Denis.
Benoit Saint Denis (17-3), the 30-year-old Frenchman, stands 5’11" with a 75" reach. He enters this bout on a formidable four-fight winning streak, having rebounded strongly after experiencing consecutive losses earlier in his career. Saint Denis is renowned for his aggressive, finishing-oriented style, boasting the highest significant strike accuracy in UFC lightweight history. All 17 of his professional MMA victories have come via finish, with 15 of those occurring within the first two rounds, highlighting his potent offensive capabilities.
Additional Main Card Contests
Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight Rematch)
This bout is a rematch from 2019, where Cory Sandhagen secured a first-round submission victory. Sandhagen (18-6, 34yo, 5’11", 70" reach, USA) has experienced a challenging period, going 3-5 in his last eight fights after an impressive 8-0 start to his career. Mario Bautista (17-3, 32yo, 5’9", 69" reach, USA), meanwhile, has significantly evolved, holding an 11-2 record in the UFC since his debut loss to Sandhagen. Bautista is currently on a hot streak, winning nine of his last 10 fights, including a recent victory over Vinicius Oliveira in February, positioning him as a legitimate threat.
Brandon Royval vs. Lone’er Kavanagh (Flyweight)
Lone’er Kavanagh (10-1, 27yo, 5’6", 67" reach, England) is a rising prospect with limited UFC experience (1-1 in four fights) but an impressive 9-0 start to his professional MMA career. He recently secured a unanimous decision win over Brandon Moreno in February and has demonstrated strong defensive grappling, stopping 16 of 17 takedown attempts in his UFC tenure. Brandon Royval (17-9, 33yo, 5’9", 68" reach, USA) faces a critical challenge, having gone 2-3 in his last five fights after an initial three-fight winning streak. He is currently on a two-fight losing skid, marking the second time in his career he has lost consecutive bouts.
King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight)
King Green (35-17-1, 1 NC; 39yo, 5’10", 71" reach, USA) is making a quick turnaround, with this being his third fight of 2026 and his second in just 63 days, following an appearance at UFC 328 on May 9. He enters this contest on a three-fight winning streak, aiming to capitalize on his momentum despite the short rest. Terrance McKinney (18-8, 31yo, 5’10", 73.5" reach, USA) is known for his explosive and quick finishes, holding the shortest average fight time in UFC lightweight history. All 18 of his professional victories have come inside the distance (9 KOs, 9 submissions), with eight of those wins occurring in under a minute and 17 in the first round, underscoring his propensity for rapid engagements.
How to Watch UFC 329
UFC 329 will be broadcast exclusively on Paramount+. Subscribers to Paramount+ can watch all UFC Premium Live Events (PLEs), including UFC 329, without any additional pay-per-view cost. The ad-supported Paramount+ Essential plan is available for $8.99 per month, while the Paramount+ Premium tier offers an ad-free experience (except for live TV), along with access to SHOWTIME Originals and live local CBS broadcasts, and the ability to download content for offline viewing.
Kalshi Promo Code Details and Legal Landscape
The Kalshi Referral Code CBSSPORTS provides new users with a $15 bonus after making $15 in trades, subject to specific terms and conditions. Users must be 18 years or older and possess a legal U.S. residential address in a state where Kalshi legitimately operates. While Kalshi is available in all 50 U.S. states and Washington D.C., certain markets may be restricted in some jurisdictions due to ongoing legal evaluations. Deposit methods include Apple Pay, Google Pay, Venmo, PayPal, Cash App, debit cards (U.S. only), bank transfers, wire transfers (minimum $1,000), and crypto deposits. The promo code was last verified on July 6, 2026.
The legal status of event contract exchanges like Kalshi, while federally regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), remains a dynamic landscape. Several states have initiated actions against prediction markets, particularly those involving sports, citing their resemblance to state-regulated sports betting platforms. The table below outlines the live status of sports prediction markets by state as of July 2026:
| State | Are sports prediction markets live? (as of July 2026) |
|---|---|
| Alabama | Live |
| Alaska | Live |
| Arizona | Live* |
| Arkansas | Live |
| California | Live* |
| Colorado | Live |
| Connecticut | Live* |
| Delaware | Live |
| District of Columbia | Live |
| Florida | Live |
| Georgia | Live |
| Hawaii | Live |
| Idaho | Live |
| Illinois | Live* |
| Indiana | Live |
| Iowa | Live |
| Kansas | Live |
| Kentucky | Live |
| Louisiana | Live |
| Maine | Live |
| Maryland | Live* |
| Massachusetts | Live* |
| Michigan | Not Live* |
| Minnesota | Not Live |
| Mississippi | Live |
| Missouri | Live |
| Montana | Live |
| Nebraska | Live |
| Nevada | Not Live |
| New Hampshire | Live |
| New Jersey | Live |
| New Mexico | Live |
| New York | Live* |
| North Carolina | Live |
| North Dakota | Live |
| Ohio | Live* |
| Oklahoma | Live |
| Oregon | Live |
| Pennsylvania | Live* |
| Rhode Island | Live |
| South Carolina | Live |
| South Dakota | Live |
| Tennessee | Live* |
| Texas | Live* |
| Utah | Live* |
| Vermont | Live |
| Virginia | Live |
| Washington | Live* |
| West Virginia | Live |
| Wisconsin | Live* |
| Wyoming | Live |
*May be restricted from all trading or limited to select non-sports markets during ongoing lawsuits.
18+. Void where prohibited. Must be located in the U.S. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. New customers only. Must use eligible promo code upon sign-up. The credit expires in 30 days and cannot be withdrawn. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it’s appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. See kalshi.com for additional terms and more information. Offer subject to expiry. Sports contracts currently unavailable in NV.
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