Ali Akbar Rosady
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UFC 329 is set to electrify the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas this Saturday, July 12, 2026, marking a pivotal moment in the promotion’s calendar with the highly anticipated return of Conor McGregor. The main event will feature a historic rematch between McGregor, one of the sport’s most iconic figures, and fellow UFC legend Max Holloway. This monumental clash headlines a robust 14-fight card, representing the first Premium Live Event (PLE) since the organization’s "UFC White House" event. For those interested in engaging with the event beyond viewership, Kalshi, a federally regulated event contract exchange, offers various trading opportunities, including a special promotion using the code CBSSPORTS for a $15 trading bonus after making $15 worth of trades.
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McGregor vs. Holloway 2: A Decades-Long Rematch
Thirteen years after their initial encounter, Conor McGregor (22-6) and Max Holloway (27-9) will step into the octagon once more. Their first fight, held on August 17, 2013, during a UFC Fight Night card, saw McGregor secure a victory. Both fighters subsequently ascended to championship status, with McGregor becoming a two-division champion and Holloway dominating the featherweight division. Their careers diverged significantly after that first bout, making this welterweight rematch a compelling narrative of legacy and redemption.
McGregor, 37, makes his highly anticipated return to active competition following a five-year hiatus. His last appearance was a first-round TKO loss to Dustin Poirier in July 2021. The long layoff raises questions about ring rust and his current form, particularly against an opponent who has remained consistently active at the sport’s elite level. McGregor, standing 5-foot-9 with a 74-inch reach, will look to prove his enduring prowess despite his time away.
Conversely, Max Holloway, 34, has been a constant presence in the UFC’s upper echelons, having competed eight times since McGregor’s last fight. "Blessed" is a former UFC Featherweight Champion and a former UFC BMF (Baddest Motherf***er) Champion, known for his relentless pace, exceptional striking, and iron will. Holloway, who stands 5-foot-11 with a 69-inch reach, is coming off a loss to Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 in March, a result he will undoubtedly be motivated to rebound from. The transition from featherweight, where their first fight occurred, to welterweight for this rematch adds another layer of intrigue, potentially influencing both fighters’ strategies and physical conditioning.
On Kalshi, the market sentiment appears to favor Holloway. He is currently priced at $0.72 per share to win, reflecting his recent activity and consistent performance. McGregor, despite his superstar status, is trading at $0.28 per share, indicating the market’s skepticism regarding his return after such a significant break. Traders can engage with these prices and other outcomes by clicking through the provided links.
Co-Main Event: Pimblett vs. Saint Denis
The co-main event features a lightweight clash between England’s Paddy Pimblett (23-4) and France’s Benoit Saint Denis (17-3). Pimblett, 31, often draws comparisons to McGregor due to his distinctive look and charismatic personality, which have quickly garnered him a substantial fan base. However, Pimblett enters this fight seeking to rebound from his first UFC defeat, a loss to Justin Gaethje at UFC 324 in January, which also marked his first loss since 2018. Historically, "The Baddy" has never suffered back-to-back defeats in his professional career, adding pressure to his performance against Saint Denis. Kalshi prices Pimblett at $0.46 per share, making him the underdog in this encounter.
His opponent, Benoit Saint Denis, 30, arrives with significant momentum, having won four consecutive fights since an earlier pair of losses. Saint Denis is renowned for his aggressive, finishing-oriented style; all 17 of his professional MMA victories have come via finish, with 15 of those occurring in the first two rounds. He also holds the distinction of having the highest significant strike accuracy in UFC lightweight history, highlighting his dangerous offensive capabilities. Saint Denis is priced at $0.54 per share on Kalshi, reflecting his slight favoritism.
Main Card Breakdown: Additional Key Bouts
Beyond the two headlining acts, UFC 329 features several other compelling matchups on the main card:
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Cory Sandhagen (18-6) vs. Mario Bautista (17-3): This bantamweight rematch from 2019 sees Sandhagen, 34, seeking to reassert dominance after winning their first encounter via first-round submission. Sandhagen’s recent record stands at 3-5 over his last eight fights, following an impressive 8-0 start to his career. Bautista, 32, has had a remarkable run since his UFC debut loss to Sandhagen, posting an 11-2 record within the promotion. He has won nine of his last 10 bouts and is fresh off a victory over Vinicius Oliveira in February. Kalshi has Sandhagen at $0.56 per share and Bautista at $0.44.
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Brandon Royval (17-9) vs. Lone’er Kavanagh (10-1): A flyweight contest pitting the veteran Royval, 33, against the rising Kavanagh, 27. Royval enters this fight having lost consecutive fights for the second time in his career, with a 2-3 record in his last five outings. Kavanagh, an English fighter, holds a professional record of 9-0 before his UFC tenure, where he stands at 1-1 across four fights. He recently secured a unanimous decision win over Brandon Moreno in February and boasts an impressive 16-of-17 takedown defense rate in the UFC. Kalshi lists Kavanagh as the favorite at $0.68 per share, with Royval at $0.32.
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King Green (35-17-1, 1 NC) vs. Terrance McKinney (18-8): This lightweight clash features two American fighters with distinct styles. King Green, 39, is making his third appearance of 2026 and his second in just 63 days, having last fought at UFC 328 on May 9. He carries a three-fight winning streak into this quick turnaround. Terrance McKinney, 31, is known for his explosive, rapid finishes, holding the shortest average fight time in UFC lightweight history. All 18 of McKinney’s professional wins have come inside the distance (9 KO, 9 submission), with eight of those victories occurring in under a minute and 17 in the first round. Kalshi’s pricing for this bout is very close, with Green at $0.51 per share and McKinney at $0.49.
Trading UFC 329 on Kalshi: A Comprehensive Guide
Kalshi operates as a federally regulated event contract exchange, providing a unique platform for users in all 50 U.S. states and Washington D.C. to trade on the outcomes of various events, including high-profile UFC fights. New users can leverage the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS to receive a $15 trading bonus after placing $15 worth of trades.
How to Sign Up and Trade:
Signing up for Kalshi is a straightforward process. Once registered, users can navigate the platform’s diverse markets, which span politics, pop culture, and sports. For UFC events, popular contracts include predicting the fight winner, exact method of victory (e.g., Holloway via KO/TKO/DQ at $0.53 per share), whether the fight will go the distance, the round of victory, or the method of finish. The Kalshi app facilitates trading on live, upcoming, and long-term sporting events, offering flexibility for traders.
Legal Landscape of Prediction Markets:
While Kalshi is federally regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and generally available across the U.S., the legal landscape for sports prediction markets remains dynamic. Several states have initiated actions against such platforms, often citing similarities to state-regulated sports betting. As of July 2026, while Kalshi is broadly accessible, certain states may impose restrictions on specific markets, particularly sports-related ones, due to ongoing legal challenges. Users are advised to review the platform’s terms and conditions regarding availability in their specific jurisdiction. For instance, Michigan and Nevada currently list sports prediction markets as "Not Live" for Kalshi, while other states like Arizona, California, Illinois, and New York may have restrictions on all trading or be limited to select non-sports markets.
| Kalshi Promo Code Details: | Kalshi Referral Code | CBSSPORTS |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi Bonus Offer | $15 bonus after making $15 in trades* | |
| States Kalshi is Available | All 50 U.S. states, Washington, D.C., and United States territories (certain markets may not be available in all jurisdictions) | |
| Kalshi Minimum Age | 18 years or older. Users must also have a legal, U.S. residential address located in a state where Kalshi operates legitimately | |
| Kalshi Deposit Methods | Apple Pay, Google Pay, Venmo, PayPal, Cash App, debit cards (U.S. only), bank transfers, wire transfers (minimum $1,000), and crypto deposits | |
| Kalshi Promo Code Last Verified | July 6, 2026 |
18+. Void where prohibited. Must be located in the U.S. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. New customers only. Must use eligible promo code upon sign-up. The credit expires in 30 days and cannot be withdrawn. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it’s appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. See kalshi.com for additional terms and more information. Offer subject to expiry. Sports contracts currently unavailable in NV.
Viewing UFC 329:
UFC 329 will stream exclusively on Paramount+, the official home for all UFC Premium Live Events. The main card is scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET. Subscribers to Paramount+ can access all UFC numbered fights, including UFC 329, at no additional cost beyond their subscription fee. This represents a departure from the traditional pay-per-view model, offering an accessible viewing experience for fans. Paramount+ offers various subscription tiers, including an ad-supported Essential plan starting at $8.99 per month, and a Premium option with ad-free viewing, SHOWTIME Originals access, and live CBS local broadcasts. Fans can subscribe now to ensure they catch every moment of McGregor vs. Holloway 2, Saint Denis vs. Pimblett, and the entire UFC 329 card live from Las Vegas.
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