Ali Akbar Rosady
Las Vegas is poised to host the Ultimate Fighting Championship’s first major event of the year, UFC 324, an action-packed card headlined by a highly anticipated interim lightweight championship bout. The event, marking the promotion’s debut on Paramount+, is scheduled for Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena, featuring Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett in the main event.
Pimblett, boasting a professional record of 23 wins and 3 losses, enters the championship contest as the odds-on favorite, priced at -238 in the latest UFC 324 betting lines. The Liverpool native is currently riding an impressive nine-fight winning streak, aiming to secure his first title under the UFC banner. His opponent, Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje, a former interim lightweight champion with a record of 26 wins and 5 losses, stands as the underdog at +195. Gaethje has demonstrated strong form recently, winning three of his last four bouts. The over/under for total rounds in the main event is set at 2.5, with the ‘Over’ slightly favored at -120, suggesting expectations for a fight that could extend beyond the halfway point of the third round.
The UFC 324 main card is set to commence at 9 p.m. ET. Preceding the lightweight title fight, a pivotal bantamweight clash will serve as the co-main event, pitting top-five ranked contenders Sean O’Malley against Song Yadong. Despite suffering back-to-back defeats to Merab Dvalishvili, O’Malley (18-3) is favored at -218, while Yadong (22-8-1) is listed at +180. The outcome of this fight could significantly impact the immediate title picture in the bantamweight division.
For those considering wagers on UFC 324, SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani has provided comprehensive MMA predictions and betting advice. Vithlani is a recognized UFC bettor known for consistent success since his debut in January 2023, where he achieved a 5-0 record for UFC 283. His insights have resulted in over $1,500 in profits for SportsLine members on his UFC main-card picks. Notable past successes include correctly predicting Sean O’Malley’s upset victory (+210) over Aljamain Sterling (-250) at UFC 292 as part of a 4-1 main card. At UFC 299, Vithlani also identified underdog winners such as Dustin Poirier (+190) against Benoit Saint Denis (-230) and Michael Page (+110) against Kevin Holland (-130).
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New users interested in betting on UFC 324 can explore available promotions. The DraftKings promo code offers $300 in bonus bets if their initial wager wins. Similarly, the FanDuel promo code provides an opportunity for new users to receive $300 in bonus bets instantly if their $5 bet is successful.
Gaethje vs. Pimblett Main Event Analysis
Justin Gaethje, 37, brings a formidable amateur wrestling background to the Octagon, having been an NCAA All-American at Northern Colorado. However, his professional MMA career has been defined by his exceptional knockout power. Of his 26 victories, 20 have come by way of knockout, five by decision, and only one via submission. Conversely, three of his five professional losses have been by knockout, and two by submission, with Gaethje notably never having lost a fight by decision.
Fighting out of Denver, Gaethje aims to reclaim the interim UFC Lightweight Championship, a title he first secured at UFC 249 with a TKO victory over Tony Ferguson. His subsequent attempts to unify the title were unsuccessful, falling to Khabib Nurmagomedov and later Charles Oliveira at UFC 274. Gaethje recently added the symbolic UFC "BMF" title to his accolades, defeating Dustin Poirier at UFC 291 in a memorable contest. His record in Las Vegas stands at 3-1.
Paddy Pimblett, 31, possesses a strong Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu background, beginning his professional career at just 17 years old in his hometown of Liverpool, England. After competing at bantamweight and featherweight for over five years, he transitioned to the lightweight division in 2018. Since then, Pimblett has compiled an impressive 10-1 record, including an undefeated 7-0 streak since joining the UFC in 2021. His versatility is evident in his 23 career victories: 10 by submission, seven by knockout, and six by decision.
While Pimblett has previously held championships in other promotions, UFC 324 marks his first title opportunity within the Ultimate Fighting Championship. "The Baddy" has frequently been awarded "Performance of the Night" bonuses, receiving the honor in five of his last seven fights, including his two most recent bouts. He maintains a perfect 3-0 record in his MMA career when fighting in Las Vegas.
UFC Broadcast Shift to Paramount+
UFC 324 marks a significant shift in how fans can access numbered UFC events. The promotion has announced that all numbered events and UFC Fight Night cards will now be streamed live on Paramount+ at no additional cost for subscribers, effectively eliminating the traditional Pay-Per-View model for these shows. Paramount+ subscribers will also gain access to pre-fight docuseries, full-length fight replays, and an extensive archive of past fights. This move aims to make the UFC content more accessible to a broader audience through the streaming platform.
UFC 324 Main Card and Odds
Beyond the two headline bouts, the UFC 324 main card features several other compelling matchups with significant implications across their respective divisions. Odds, provided by DraftKings, are subject to change.
- Heavyweight Bout: Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-345) vs. Derrick Lewis (+275)
- Cortes-Acosta (11-1) enters as the considerable favorite against the veteran Derrick Lewis (27-12, 1 NC). Cortes-Acosta has shown promising form, while Lewis, known for his knockout power, will be looking to rebound.
- Women’s Flyweight Bout: Natalie Silva (-310) vs. Rose Namajunas (+250)
- Natalie Silva (17-5) is favored against former strawweight champion Rose Namajunas (12-6), who is making her second appearance in the flyweight division. Namajunas will seek to establish herself in a new weight class against a skilled opponent.
- Featherweight Bout: Arnold Allen (+170) vs. Jean Silva (-205)
- This featherweight contest features Arnold Allen (19-3) as the underdog against Jean Silva (12-3).
Regarding the featherweight matchup between Arnold Allen and Jean Silva, SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani has identified a specific pick. Vithlani is backing Jean Silva (-205) to defeat Arnold Allen (+175). Vithlani stated, "Silva’s 5-0 start to his UFC career came to a screeching halt in his last fight against featherweight title challenger Diego Lopes. After finishing his first five UFC opponents, Silva was beat up and knocked out badly by Lopes in a nasty fight. Prior to that, Silva was emerging as the division’s fastest-rising prospect. I think he can get back to haunting his fellow featherweights, starting with Allen. Allen is an active southpaw kickboxer and a capable grappler, but he won’t have the advantage on the ground like Lopes did. Allen will need to stay on his lateral movement and try to out-volume Silva, but one big right hand or left hook from Silva could change this fight instantly."
Vithlani’s full betting picks and detailed analysis for Gaethje vs. Pimblett, along with other bouts on the UFC 324 card, including a fighter he identifies as the "far more sophisticated striker" who he expects to "tee off" on their opponent, are available exclusively on SportsLine.
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