Ali Akbar Rosady
UFC 328 is set to ignite the Prudential Center in Newark, N.J., this Saturday, May 9, 2026, featuring a highly anticipated middleweight championship bout between defending titleholder Khamzat Chimaev and the third-ranked contender, Sean Strickland. The five-bout main card is scheduled to commence at approximately 9 p.m. ET, with live streaming available exclusively on Paramount+. As fight night approaches, seasoned MMA analyst Kyle Marley, renowned for his successful betting insights on SportsLine, has released his detailed predictions and betting advice for the entire card, including the pivotal main event.
Khamzat Chimaev enters the octagon as a significant favorite at -500 in the UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland odds, according to DraftKings Sportsbook. Challenger Sean Strickland is positioned as the underdog at +380. Before placing any wagers on the event, bettors are advised to consult the comprehensive UFC 328 predictions and betting insights provided by Marley, whose track record has consistently yielded substantial returns for those who have followed his expert analysis. Paramount+ subscribers can stream every UFC numbered event and UFC Fight Night live, at no additional cost, alongside a vast library of other sports content including the UEFA Champions League, college basketball, the NFL, and Big Ten on CBS. Plans for the streaming service begin at $8.99 per month.
Kyle Marley has established himself as a prominent and highly profitable voice in MMA betting. Over the past three-plus years, $100 bettors following Marley’s selections have collectively seen profits approaching $10,000. Since May 2018, his expert picks have generated well over $21,000 in returns. Marley’s consistent success for SportsLine members spans half a decade, highlighted by a remarkable streak in 2020 where he accurately predicted five consecutive main-event underdog winners following the UFC’s pandemic-induced hiatus. His deep understanding of the sport and meticulous approach to analyzing matchups have made his UFC betting picks a valuable resource for bettors seeking significant returns. Marley has meticulously studied the Khamzat Chimaev vs. Sean Strickland matchup from every conceivable angle, formulating his top betting picks and best bets, which are accessible to SportsLine subscribers.
Khamzat Chimaev, 32, known by his moniker "Borz," boasts an unblemished professional record of 15-0, with nine of those victories occurring within the UFC promotion. His versatile skill set is evident in his finishing record, which includes six wins by knockout, six by submission, and three by decision. Chimaev’s aggressive, grappling-heavy style combined with potent striking has earned him six Performance of the Night bonuses and one Fight of the Night honor. He holds the distinction of being the first Chechen-born fighter to claim a UFC championship, a testament to his groundbreaking achievements in the sport. Chimaev’s last outing saw him secure a unanimous decision victory over Dricus du Plessis at UFC 319 last August, further solidifying his reign as champion.
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Chimaev’s dominance is also reflected in several UFC records. He holds the record for most total strikes landed in a single UFC fight with an astonishing 529, along with most total ground strikes landed (517) and most total head strikes landed (411) in a UFC contest. He also ranks second for most total strikes attempted in a UFC fight with 567. Beyond statistics, Chimaev has garnered numerous accolades, including the 2020 Newcomer of the Year, Fan’s Choice Debut of the Year, and the 2024 President’s Choice Fight of the Year, recognizing his explosive entry and impact on the sport. His rapid ascent and ability to finish fights in spectacular fashion have made him one of the most talked-about and feared competitors in the middleweight division.
Challenging Chimaev for the middleweight strap is Sean Strickland, 35, a fighter celebrated for his relentless pressure, high-volume striking, and often controversial persona. Strickland’s professional MMA record stands at an impressive 30-7, with 12 victories coming by knockout, four by submission, and 14 by decision. He enters UFC 328 on the back of strong form, having secured five wins in his last seven bouts. Notably, Strickland is a former UFC middleweight champion, having previously held the coveted title. His most recent performance was a decisive knockout victory over Anthony Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez this past February, showcasing his continued evolution as a dangerous striker.
Strickland’s tenure in the UFC has been marked by memorable performances, earning him four Performance of the Night awards and one Fight of the Night bonus. His striking prowess is statistically significant, as he holds the record for most significant strikes landed in UFC middleweight division history with 1,575. Furthermore, he ranks second in overall UFC history for significant strikes landed with 2,307, underscoring his consistent output and effective striking. One of the most defining moments of his career was his upset victory over Israel Adesanya at UFC 293, which was widely recognized as the 2024 Upset of the Year. This win not only earned him the middleweight championship but also cemented his reputation as a fighter capable of defying expectations and overcoming seemingly insurmountable odds. His unique, often confrontational, approach to fights and interviews adds an unpredictable element to his contests.
The main event between Chimaev and Strickland presents a classic stylistic clash: Chimaev’s elite grappling, relentless pressure, and well-rounded offensive capabilities against Strickland’s iron chin, high-volume striking, and awkward defensive movements. Chimaev’s -500 favoritism reflects his undefeated record and his history of overwhelming opponents, often taking them down and dominating on the ground. Strickland, however, possesses the striking acumen and experience to potentially exploit any openings, and his ability to absorb punishment and maintain pressure could test Chimaev’s cardio and resolve in the championship rounds. The fight is expected to be a high-stakes affair, with both fighters known for their durability and fighting spirit.
Beyond the main event, Kyle Marley has offered insights into various matchups on the UFC 328 card. One of Marley’s confirmed UFC 328 predictions involves a lightweight bout between King Green (-440) and veteran Jeremy Stephens (+340) on the main card. Marley anticipates a victory for King Green, projecting a win via unanimous decision. "Stephens is returning to the UFC for a 36th fight," Marley explained to SportsLine. "He is a pure striker and is dangerous with his hands. He needs to get a knockout here because Green is going to be faster, higher paced and he has more striking tools. I will take Green to win 2-3 rounds." Stephens, affectionately known as "Lil’ Heathen," is renowned for his knockout power and willingness to engage in brawls, having been a fixture in the UFC for many years. However, Marley’s analysis suggests that Green’s speed and diverse striking arsenal will prove too much for the returning veteran.
Marley’s comprehensive analysis extends to the other intriguing matchups on the UFC 328 card, including his strong picks for the Chimaev vs. Strickland title fight. He also backs another fighter whom he describes as "the cleaner striker" to emerge victorious in their respective bout, promising a significant win for those who follow his advice. To access all of Marley’s detailed predictions and betting strategies for every fight at UFC 328, including his highly anticipated breakdown of the main event and his undisclosed "cleaner striker" pick, fight enthusiasts and bettors are encouraged to visit SportsLine.
The full UFC 328 main fight card, with odds provided by DraftKings and subject to change, includes:
Khamzat Chimaev (-500) vs. Sean Strickland (+380)
Joshua Van (+130) vs. Tatsuro Taira (-155)
Alexander Volkov (-125) vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (+105)
Sean Brady (-198) vs. Joaquin Buckley (+164)
King Green (-440) vs. Jeremy Stephens (+340)
For those looking to engage in sports trading, the Kalshi platform offers additional opportunities, and a review of their latest offers is available for new users. To get detailed picks and analysis from the incomparable expert who is up over $21,000 on his UFC picks since May 19, 2018, and to discover who wins Chimaev vs. Strickland and how exactly the fight will end, visit SportsLine now.
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