NBA Tuesday: Celtics-76ers, Warriors-Thunder Spotlight Six-Game Slate, Betting Model Projects +700 Parlay Opportunity

A slate of six National Basketball Association (NBA) contests is scheduled for Tuesday, November 11, with pivotal matchups including an Eastern Conference rivalry between the Boston Celtics and the Philadelphia 76ers, and a Western Conference clash featuring the Golden State Warriors against the Oklahoma City Thunder. Both marquee games are set for an 8 p.m. ET tip-off, drawing significant attention from fans and bettors alike. The SportsLine Projection Model, renowned for its accuracy in NBA predictions, has identified a three-leg parlay offering a potential +700 return, signaling specific high-confidence picks for the evening’s action.

The Boston Celtics, currently positioned as 1.5-point road favorites, will face a formidable challenge against the Philadelphia 76ers, who are confirmed to be without their star center Joel Embiid due to a knee injury. Embiid’s absence is expected to significantly impact the 76ers’ defensive interior and offensive potency, placing greater responsibility on Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris to lead the charge. The Celtics enter the game with a strong early-season record, buoyed by the consistent performance of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown, and their typically robust team defense. They have demonstrated an ability to perform on the road, with their offensive efficiency often overcoming hostile environments. Philadelphia, despite Embiid’s injury, has shown resilience in previous games this season, often relying on their perimeter scoring and an aggressive fast-break offense. However, the task of containing Boston’s versatile scoring threats without their Defensive Player of the Year candidate presents a substantial hurdle.

In the Western Conference, the Oklahoma City Thunder are heavily favored by 7.5 points as they host the Golden State Warriors. This matchup carries an intriguing narrative, particularly with the return of Stephen Curry to the Warriors’ lineup after a three-game absence due to a minor injury. Despite Curry’s comeback, the Warriors have endured a challenging start to the season, particularly struggling on the road. Golden State’s road record stands at 1-5 against the spread (ATS) and they have lost five consecutive road games outright, highlighting a significant vulnerability away from the Chase Center. Their recent overall form also indicates inconsistency, with a 2-4 ATS record over their last six contests. The team’s defensive cohesion has been a point of concern, often allowing opponents to exploit weaknesses in transition and half-court sets.

Conversely, the Oklahoma City Thunder have emerged as one of the league’s most dominant forces in the early stages of the 2025-26 season. The team boasts an impressive record, underpinned by a stifling defense that ranked among the NBA’s elite last season and has seamlessly carried that intensity into the current campaign. The Thunder’s league-best net rating of +13.2 underscores their efficiency on both ends of the floor. Spearheaded by reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is projected by the SportsLine model to deliver another stellar performance with an average of 37.2 points, and supported by the burgeoning talent of Chet Holmgren, projected for 20.1 points, Oklahoma City presents a formidable challenge. The team is returning home after a four-game road trip, often a galvanizing factor for teams looking to reassert their home court dominance. The SportsLine Projection Model’s in-depth analysis strongly favors the Thunder (-7.5) to cover the spread, citing Golden State’s persistent road struggles and Oklahoma City’s superior overall team metrics and individual performances. The model’s simulations indicate that OKC covers in nearly 70% of scenarios, categorizing this as an A-rated pick within its system. Furthermore, the model forecasts seven Thunder players to reach at least nine points, compared to just four for the Warriors, illustrating the depth and balanced scoring threat of the Oklahoma City squad.

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Beyond these high-profile encounters, the Tuesday schedule features four other compelling games. The New York Knicks, known for their tenacious defense and gritty play, will visit the Memphis Grizzlies, who are listed as 6.5-point underdogs. The Grizzlies often leverage a strong home-court advantage, but their roster has faced various injury challenges early in the season, potentially impacting their consistency. The Brooklyn Nets are set to travel to Toronto to face the Raptors, with Toronto favored by 10.5 points. The Raptors are in a phase of development, showcasing young talent and striving for defensive identity, while the Nets continue to navigate a period of transition.

In another Western Conference matchup, the Indiana Pacers will take on the Utah Jazz, with the Jazz entering as 2.5-point underdogs. The Pacers are recognized for their high-octane offense and fast-paced style of play, often leading to high-scoring affairs. The Jazz, playing at home in Salt Lake City, frequently benefit from the altitude, which can be a factor for visiting teams, and possess a roster capable of challenging opponents, especially in their arena. Finally, the reigning NBA champions, the Denver Nuggets, will be on the road against the Sacramento Kings, who are favored by 8.5 points. The Kings, led by their dynamic backcourt and strong frontcourt presence, have established themselves as an offensive force in the league, aiming to build on recent successes and challenge the established hierarchy of the Western Conference. The Nuggets, with Nikola Jokic leading their charge, remain a formidable opponent regardless of the venue, but an 8.5-point spread against a strong Kings team suggests a challenging road test.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, has established a significant track record of success in sports betting. Over the past eight seasons, the model has generated well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks. It enters Week 4 of the 2025-26 NBA season on an impressive 26-13 run on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to the previous season, demonstrating consistent analytical prowess. For Tuesday’s action, the model has identified three confident NBA best bets that, when combined into a parlay, project a payout of +700. While the Thunder (-7.5) pick against Golden State has been revealed as a core component of this parlay, the model has also locked in two additional selections, including one underdog pick projected to secure an outright victory, offering a plus-money return on the money line. These comprehensive NBA predictions and betting advice, including the full details of the high-value parlay, are exclusively available to SportsLine subscribers, offering an informed perspective for those looking to engage with Tuesday’s NBA betting opportunities.