Ali Akbar Rosady
Macao, China – The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) returns to the Galaxy Arena this Saturday, May 30, 2026, for UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo, an event headlined by a pivotal bantamweight clash between the fifth-ranked Song Yadong and the seventh-ranked Deiveson Figueiredo. The six-bout main card is scheduled to commence at approximately 7 a.m. ET, broadcasting live on Paramount+. SportsLine’s esteemed MMA analyst, Kyle Marley, has released his comprehensive predictions and betting advice for the entire card, offering a detailed breakdown for enthusiasts and bettors alike.
The main event features two fighters looking to rebound from recent unanimous decision losses at UFC 324 in January. Song Yadong, often referred to as "Kung Fu Kid," suffered a defeat at the hands of then-champion Sean O’Malley, while Deiveson Figueiredo, a former two-time flyweight champion, was bested by Umar Nurmagomedov. The stakes are significant, as both competitors aim to reassert their presence in the highly competitive bantamweight division and climb closer to title contention.
DraftKings Sportsbook has positioned Song Yadong as a substantial -600 favorite in the main event, with Deiveson Figueiredo listed as a +440 underdog. This wide margin reflects the perceived trajectory and current form of both fighters, with the younger Song often seen as a future divisional staple and Figueiredo, at 38, navigating a new weight class against formidable opposition. The co-main event features a light heavyweight encounter, where Zhang Mingyang is favored at -258 against Alonzo Menifield, who stands at +205.
For those seeking informed perspectives on the event’s outcomes, Kyle Marley’s analysis has consistently proven to be a valuable resource. Over the past three-plus years, bettors who have aligned with Marley’s predictions have seen returns approaching $10,000 on $100 wagers. Since May 2018, his total profit for SportsLine members exceeds $21,000. Marley’s track record includes a notable streak in 2020, where he successfully predicted five consecutive main-event underdog winners following the UFC’s operational adjustments due to the global pandemic. His consistent success in the UFC betting landscape underscores his expertise and detailed approach to fight analysis.
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Main Event Breakdown: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Song Yadong, the 28-year-old Chinese bantamweight, enters this contest with a professional record of 22 wins, 9 losses, 1 draw, and 1 no-contest. A recipient of five ‘Performance of the Night’ bonuses and one ‘Fight of the Night’ honor, Song has demonstrated his finishing capabilities with nine knockouts and three submissions, complemented by ten decision victories. His career commenced on May 18, 2013, with his bantamweight debut ending in a no-contest due to an accidental groin strike. After an initial four-fight winning streak, he experienced a unanimous decision loss to Ji Xian at ONE FC: Dynasty of Champions in December 2014. Following a brief stint at featherweight (1-1) and a lightweight debut in October 2017, Song made his UFC debut the subsequent month. Within the UFC, he has compiled a record of 11 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw, establishing himself as a prominent figure in the division. His recent loss to Sean O’Malley at UFC 324 marked a temporary setback in his ascent, but his aggressive striking style and youth suggest a strong potential for resurgence.
Deiveson Figueiredo, the 38-year-old Brazilian veteran, holds a professional record of 25 wins, 6 losses, and 1 draw. Figueiredo, who turned professional in 2012, made his UFC promotional debut on June 3, 2017, at UFC 212, securing a technical knockout victory over Marco Beltran via corner stoppage after the second round. His diverse skillset is evident in his nine knockout wins, nine submission victories, and seven decision triumphs. Figueiredo is notably a two-time UFC Flyweight Champion, having successfully defended his title on two occasions. He is currently tied with Brandon Moreno for the third-most title fight wins in the history of the UFC flyweight division, a testament to his championship pedigree. His accolades also include three ‘Fight of the Night’ awards and one ‘Performance of the Night’ bonus, and he was recognized as the 2020 UFC.com Fighter of the Year. His move to bantamweight presents new challenges, and his recent loss to Umar Nurmagomedov underscores the highly competitive nature of his current division.
Marley’s Featured Pick: Jaqueline Amorim vs. Loma Lookboonmee
Among his detailed picks for the UFC Fight Night card, Kyle Marley has identified Jaqueline Amorim (-115) to secure a victory via decision against Loma Lookboonmee (-105) in a women’s strawweight bout on the main card. Marley’s rationale for this pick centers on the grappling advantage of Amorim. "Amorim should be the better and more dangerous grappler in this one," Marley stated, emphasizing her potential to dictate the fight’s trajectory. However, he also acknowledged the tactical challenge for Amorim, noting, "she has to get the fight to the ground, and she is more likely to slow down."
Conversely, Marley highlighted Lookboonmee’s well-rounded skillset, particularly her striking, stating, "Lookboonmee is the more well-rounded fighter, but she needs to keep this fight on the feet." Despite the stylistic complexities, Marley expressed a general preference for Amorim’s overall capabilities. "I am more impressed with Amorim in general, so I’ll pick her to get an early sub and hope she doesn’t gas out if it doesn’t happen," he concluded, indicating a belief in Amorim’s ability to capitalize on an early opportunity or manage the fight to a decision even if the submission doesn’t materialize.
Additional Main Card Insights
The main card in Macao features several other compelling matchups with significant betting lines:
- Zhang Mingyang (-250) vs. Alonzo Menifield (+205): In the co-main event, Chinese prospect Zhang Mingyang, known for his knockout power, faces the athletic Alonzo Menifield in a light heavyweight contest. Mingyang’s heavy favoritism reflects confidence in his ability to finish fights decisively. Menifield, however, possesses the athleticism and experience to present a challenge, particularly if he can weather early storms.
- Sergei Pavlovich (-600) vs. Tallison Teixeira (+440): Heavyweight contender Sergei Pavlovich, a formidable striker with a series of quick knockouts, is a massive favorite against Tallison Teixeira. Pavlovich’s dominant performances have established him as one of the division’s most dangerous fighters, and his odds reflect the expectation of another powerful display.
- Kai Asakura (-290) vs. Cameron Smotherman (+235): In the bantamweight division, Japan’s Kai Asakura is favored against Cameron Smotherman. Asakura, a prominent fighter from the Rizin circuit, brings a high-octane style, while Smotherman will look to leverage his UFC experience to spring an upset.
- Carlston Harris (+260) vs. Jake Matthews (-325): Welterweights Carlston Harris and Jake Matthews are set to clash, with Matthews entering as the strong favorite. Matthews, a consistent performer in the welterweight division, will aim to neutralize Harris’s aggressive approach and continue his climb.
- Alex Perez (-142) vs. Su Mudaerji (+120): A flyweight bout sees Alex Perez favored over Su Mudaerji. Both fighters are known for their fast-paced styles, and this matchup promises to be a dynamic affair with relatively close odds, suggesting a competitive contest.
All UFC numbered events and Fight Night cards are available for live streaming on Paramount+. A subscription to Paramount+ provides access to an extensive range of sports content, including UEFA Champions League, college basketball, the NFL, and Big Ten on CBS, alongside a vast library of movies and shows. Plans begin at $8.99 per month.
As the UFC Fight Night in Macao approaches, Kyle Marley’s detailed analysis provides a crucial layer of insight for those following the event. His additional picks for the Song vs. Figueiredo main event and other bouts are available exclusively on SportsLine, including a notable prediction for an underdog whom Marley believes "looks more technical and dangerous early" and is poised for a significant victory.
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