The Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) is poised to deliver a monumental night of mixed martial arts action on Saturday, December 6, with UFC 323 emanating from the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The event is headlined by a compelling bantamweight championship clash featuring the reigning champion, Merab Dvalishvili, defending his title against former divisional kingpin, Petr Yan. This highly anticipated encounter marks their first meeting inside the Octagon, promising a high-stakes battle between two of the division’s most formidable competitors. The main card is scheduled to commence at 10 p.m. ET, following early preliminary bouts at 6 p.m. ET and preliminary card action at 8 p.m. ET.
Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili, a native of Georgia, enters this contest on a remarkable 14-bout winning streak, establishing himself as one of the most dominant champions in recent bantamweight history. His journey to the summit culminated in a unanimous decision victory over Sean O’Malley at UFC 306 in September 2024, securing the coveted bantamweight strap. Since then, Dvalishvili has successfully defended his title on three occasions, showcasing his relentless pressure and unparalleled cardio. His first defense came against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC 311 in January, followed by a submission victory over Sean O’Malley in their rematch at UFC 316 in June, and most recently, a unanimous decision win over Cory Sandhagen at UFC 320 on October 4. Dvalishvili holds the distinction of being the first Georgian-born champion in UFC history.
With a professional record of 21 wins and 4 losses, Dvalishvili’s fighting style is characterized by his wrestling prowess and an unrelenting pace. Of his 21 victories, three have come by knockout, two by submission, and a remarkable 16 by decision, underscoring his ability to control fights over extended periods. He holds multiple UFC records, including the most wins by decision in UFC history and the most takedowns landed in UFC history with an astonishing 117. His consistent performances have earned him two Performance of the Night bonuses and two Fight of the Night honors. Currently, Dvalishvili is ranked No. 3 in the highly competitive UFC men’s pound-for-pound rankings, a testament to his elite status across all divisions.
Across the Octagon stands Petr "No Mercy" Yan, a fighter with a championship pedigree and a reputation for technical striking and immense toughness. Yan, 32, has also built momentum heading into this title fight, securing three consecutive victories. His most recent outing saw him defeat Marcus McGhee via unanimous decision at UFC on ABC: Whittaker vs. de Ridder on July 26. Yan’s career highlights include holding both the UFC interim bantamweight championship and the undisputed UFC bantamweight championship. He has been recognized for his exciting fighting style, earning three Fight of the Night awards and one Performance of the Night bonus.
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Yan’s professional journey began in December 2014, and after an impressive 8-1 start, he joined the UFC roster in 2018, where he was immediately recognized as the No. 5 Newcomer of the Year. His ascent continued in 2019, when he was named a Top-10 Fighter of the Year. Yan is tied for the fourth-longest win streak in UFC bantamweight division history with seven consecutive victories during his initial surge. Furthermore, his powerful striking is evident in his record, as he is tied for the third-most knockdowns in bantamweight history with 10. Yan is currently ranked No. 3 in the UFC bantamweight rankings, setting the stage for a clash of titans.
The stylistic matchup between Dvalishvili and Yan presents a fascinating dynamic. Dvalishvili’s relentless grappling and cardio-intensive approach will challenge Yan’s formidable takedown defense and precise counter-striking. Yan’s boxing and ability to navigate scrambles will be crucial in neutralizing Dvalishvili’s offensive wrestling. The fight is expected to be a grueling affair, testing the endurance and technical acumen of both athletes.
According to the latest UFC 323 odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook, Merab Dvalishvili is positioned as a significant favorite at -425 (implying a risk of $425 to win $100). Petr Yan, conversely, enters as the underdog at +325 (indicating a risk of $100 to win $325). These lines reflect Dvalishvili’s recent championship dominance and his consistent winning streak.
The co-main event of UFC 323 will feature another championship bout, as defending flyweight champion Alexandre "The Cannibal" Pantoja puts his title on the line against the rising challenger Joshua Van. Pantoja, known for his aggressive style and submission prowess, enters as the -245 favorite, while Van, who has quickly made a name for himself in the division, is listed at +200. This matchup promises an explosive encounter between an established champion and a hungry contender.
The main card is further bolstered by several other high-profile matchups. Former two-time flyweight champion Brandon Moreno (+105) will face the undefeated Tatsuro Taira (-125) in a pivotal flyweight contest. Former two-division champion Henry Cejudo (+225) makes his return to the bantamweight division against the highly touted prospect Payton Talbott (-275). Additionally, former light heavyweight champion Jan Blachowicz (-135) will take on Bogdan Guskov (+115) in a matchup with significant implications for the 205-pound division.
For those seeking expert analysis and betting insights, SportsLine expert Daniel Vithlani has provided detailed predictions for UFC 323. Vithlani, a highly analytical UFC bettor, has consistently delivered successful picks for SportsLine members, commencing his debut in January 2023 with an impressive 5-0 record for UFC 283. His track record includes an overall profit of over $1,500 on his UFC main-card sports betting picks. Notably, Vithlani correctly predicted the upset victory of Sean O’Malley (+210) against Aljamain Sterling (-250) at UFC 292 as part of a 4-1 main card performance. His successful calls at UFC 299 included underdog selections on Dustin Poirier (+190) against Benoit Saint Denis (-230) and Michael Page (+110) against Kevin Holland (-130).
Vithlani’s detailed breakdown extends to the preliminary card, where he is backing Chris Duncan (-165) to defeat Terrance McKinney (+140) in a lightweight matchup. "The odds for this matchup surprised me, as I expected Duncan to be a much wider favorite," Vithlani stated. "Duncan is on a three-fight win streak and is now 5-1 in the UFC. He’s shown off a solid kickboxing game, a lethal squeeze on his chokeholds and great durability and determination. Duncan fights with a hard-nosed style and refuses to be denied even when the fight isn’t going his way. McKinney is an explosive finisher who is always dangerous. In his 17-7 pro career, McKinney’s fights have gone past the first round just twice. He has never fought to a decision and has been finished in all of his losses. McKinney’s flying knees and rear-naked chokes could put Duncan in danger, but I believe Duncan’s mentality and physicality will give him the edge. If Duncan lands a heavy counterpunch in traffic, McKinney might not stand back up."
Vithlani has also identified other key picks for the UFC 323 card, including backing a fighter he describes as "the most savvy grappler in the division" to secure a significant victory. His complete analysis and best bets for Dvalishvili vs. Yan and the entire UFC 323 event are available through SportsLine.
The full UFC 323 main fight card, with current DraftKings odds, includes:
- Merab Dvalishvili (-425) vs. Petr Yan (+325)
- Alexandre Pantoja (-245) vs. Joshua Van (+200)
- Brandon Moreno (+105) vs. Tatsuro Taira (-125)
- Henry Cejudo (+225) vs. Payton Talbott (-275)
- Jan Blachowicz (-135) vs. Bogdan Guskov (+115)
UFC 323 is poised to be a pivotal event in the bantamweight division and across multiple weight classes, with championship gold on the line and top contenders vying for supremacy. The clash between Dvalishvili and Yan stands as a testament to the competitive depth of the UFC’s bantamweight division.
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