Six Months Post-Draft: Kon Knueppel’s Ascent to Second Overall and Derik Queen’s Fit with Washington Wizards Headline a Reimagined 2025 NBA Lottery.

The 2025 NBA Draft, held just over six months ago, was anticipated as a significant event, primarily due to the presence of a marquee prospect at the top. However, the subsequent performance of this rookie class has exceeded initial expectations across the board through nearly one half of the NBA regular season. This period has revealed both the depth and burgeoning star power within the 2025 draft cohort, prompting a re-evaluation of how the lottery selections might unfold with the benefit of hindsight. This analysis explores two perspectives: a conventional redraft based on current player performance, and a retrospective assessment of optimal team selections given the available talent on draft night.

1. Dallas Mavericks — Redraft pick: Cooper Flagg

Cooper Flagg, the consensus first overall pick in June, maintains his position atop the redraft. While his initial professional performances exhibited a degree of inconsistency, this period was largely contextual, marked by his deployment as a full-time point guard within a roster construction that presented inherent challenges. This initial learning curve mirrored aspects of his freshman season at Duke, suggesting a natural adaptation phase. More recently, Flagg has demonstrated the high-level play anticipated on draft night. Despite currently navigating a three-game shooting slump, his December statistics were robust, averaging 23.5 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 4.8 assists per contest, supported by efficient shooting splits of 52% from the field and 81% from the free-throw line. Although his shot-making continues to evolve and his defensive impact, while promising, has not yet reached its advertised exemplary status, it is critical to note that Flagg only recently celebrated his 19th birthday. His rapid progression has ignited a legitimate discussion regarding the Rookie of the Year award, yet the conviction that he remains the undisputed No. 1 pick endures. Reports have also highlighted his clutch performances, with the Mavericks frequently engaging in close contests, where Flagg has consistently delivered critical plays.

2. San Antonio Spurs — Redraft pick: Kon Knueppel

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The San Antonio Spurs, who originally selected Dylan Harper at this position, would now likely pivot to Kon Knueppel. Prior to Draft Night, there was considerable discussion regarding Knueppel’s potential fit with the Spurs, with some analysts even suggesting the team might consider trading down to secure his services. While Harper was widely regarded as the consensus No. 2 player in June and has since done nothing to diminish his perceived value, Knueppel’s on-court production has been exceptional. He has registered averages of 19.4 points, 5.1 rebounds, and 3.5 assists per game, coupled with blistering shooting percentages of 48% from the field, 43% from three-point range, and 89% from the free-throw line. Beyond his elite shot-making, Knueppel has showcased an equally impressive playmaking ability, and the defensive prowess observed during his collegiate career at Duke has translated effectively to the professional level. His demonstrated maturity and professionalism have been particularly impactful for the Charlotte Hornets, establishing him as a foundational, long-term asset at just 20 years old. This level of consistent, high-efficiency two-way play makes him an undeniable choice for the second overall selection in a redraft scenario.

3. Philadelphia 76ers — Redraft pick: VJ Edgecombe

VJ Edgecombe, who was the actual pick for the Philadelphia 76ers at No. 3, solidifies his position in this redraft. Edgecombe commenced his rookie campaign as one of the league’s most impactful first-year players. While he experienced a period where he struggled to maintain that elite level of performance, his most compelling basketball has been displayed in recent weeks. Over his last 10 games, Edgecombe has recorded seven outings with 22 or more points, signaling a significant resurgence. His perimeter shooting has developed ahead of schedule, while his innate explosiveness and competitive drive have met, and in some instances, exceeded pre-draft expectations. Notably, he currently leads the 76ers in point differential, underscoring his positive impact on team success. Edgecombe has visibly benefited from the offensive spacing created by playing alongside All-Star Tyrese Maxey within Nick Nurse’s dynamic system. The current trajectory suggests that Edgecombe and Maxey are poised to form the core backcourt duo around which the 76ers’ future aspirations will be constructed. The team can feel highly confident in their original selection, despite Knueppel’s ascent.

4. Charlotte Hornets — Redraft pick: Dylan Harper

For the Charlotte Hornets, who originally secured Kon Knueppel at this spot, the initial draft night was undeniably a success. In a scenario where Knueppel was already off the board at No. 2 and Philadelphia retained Edgecombe at No. 3, Dylan Harper would emerge as a logical and compelling selection for Charlotte. Harper presents the profile of a potentially dynamic lead guard around whom the franchise could build, particularly if the team were to eventually move on from LaMelo Ball. Even in the interim, his skill set suggests a capacity to coexist effectively with Ball in the backcourt. In San Antonio, where he was originally drafted, Harper’s playmaking has met expectations, utilizing his impressive combination of size, length, strength, pace, and court awareness to consistently penetrate the paint. This has been achieved even in a situation where his offensive volume has been less pronounced compared to other prominent rookies. His defensive contributions have been a pleasant surprise, exceeding pre-draft assessments. However, two primary concerns identified prior to the draft – his shooting efficiency and durability – have proven legitimate challenges; he currently shoots 27% from three-point range and has missed 10 games due to injury.

5. Utah Jazz — Redraft pick: Ace Bailey

The No. 5 pick marks the point in this redraft where several candidates present viable claims, including Derik Queen, Cedric Coward, and Jeremiah Fears, all of whom have demonstrated higher statistical productivity than Ace Bailey to date. However, the Utah Jazz, who originally selected Bailey, appear to have maintained their patient approach to his development. Bailey experienced a relatively slow start to his professional career but has since progressively played his way into the starting lineup, showing tangible two-way progress. The Jazz’s organizational philosophy acknowledged Bailey as a longer-term investment, willing to prioritize his considerable upside. This patience has begun to yield results, with clear advancements observed on both ends of the court. One of the most encouraging aspects of his development has been the notable improvement in the efficiency of his ball handling. Previously, at Rutgers and particularly during his pre-collegiate career, Bailey was often characterized as a player who allowed the ball to "stick." Under the tutelage of Head Coach Will Hardy, he has demonstrably learned to make quicker decisions with the ball, indicating a significant runway for continued improvement in his overall game.

6. Washington Wizards — Redraft pick: Derik Queen

For the Washington Wizards, who originally selected Tre Johnson, the opportunity to draft Derik Queen presents a compelling alternative. Prior to draft night, there was an argument for Washington to consider a frontcourt pairing of Alex Sarr and Queen, and in retrospect, the validity of such a strategy appears strong. While such a selection would still leave questions to be addressed in the backcourt, the collective frontcourt passing acumen, coupled with the budding potential of wings like Bilal Coulibaly and Kyshawn George, could have created an intriguing offensive dynamic. Queen, who was originally drafted by the New Orleans Pelicans, has been thriving in his rookie season, frequently operating as New Orleans’ primary playmaker. He currently leads all rookies in assists for the season, underscoring his exceptional passing vision and ability to facilitate offense from a frontcourt position. Prior to a recent two-week period of slightly reduced productivity, Queen had been averaging 17 points and 8 rebounds per game on 58% shooting from the field in the month of December, showcasing his multifaceted offensive contributions. His fit with Washington would provide a strong interior presence with elite passing.

7. New Orleans Pelicans — Redraft pick: Jeremiah Fears

Jeremiah Fears, originally selected by the New Orleans Pelicans after a trade with the Atlanta Hawks, remains a polarizing prospect even in a redraft scenario. His professional trajectory thus far has been marked by significant fluctuations in performance. A notable stretch from late November through mid-December saw Fears seemingly hit his stride, demonstrating consistent impactful play. This was followed by an eight-game period towards the end of December where he visibly struggled. Most recently, he has delivered consecutive strong performances, albeit in games that resulted in lopsided losses for his team. The fundamental reality of Fears’ game is its inherent inconsistency. When he performs at his peak, he is a dynamic offensive threat, adept at attacking the rim and playing with exceptional pace. However, these strengths are often counterbalanced by streaky shooting, questionable decision-making, and a tendency to be a defensive liability. In summary, selecting Fears continues to represent a considerable risk-reward proposition, but his flashes of brilliance make it an increasingly justifiable "big swing" at this juncture of the draft.

8. Brooklyn Nets — Redraft pick: Tre Johnson

The Brooklyn Nets, who originally selected Egor Dėmin, would consider Tre Johnson in this redraft. Johnson, the actual No. 6 pick by the Washington Wizards, experienced a slower start to his rookie season than anticipated and subsequently missed three weeks of action due due to injury. Since his return, he has gradually worked towards regaining his rhythm. Nevertheless, it remains somewhat surprising that Johnson has not been afforded greater usage within a Wizards team that is primarily focused on developing its young assets and optimizing its position for next year’s draft. For the Brooklyn Nets, Johnson’s skill set aligns well with specific needs. While their actual pick, Dėmin, has recently exceeded expectations, he has primarily been utilized as a perimeter shooter. Johnson is arguably better suited for this niche role. Furthermore, with the long-term commitments of players like Michael Porter Jr. and Cam Thomas potentially uncertain in Brooklyn, Johnson’s proven shot-making ability would be a highly valued long-term asset. Had the Nets been particularly keen on Dėmin, they possessed the necessary draft capital to potentially acquire both players.

9. Toronto Raptors — Redraft pick: Cedric Coward

The Toronto Raptors, who originally selected Collin Murray-Boyles, boast a roster already replete with talented wings, including Scottie Barnes, Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett, Gradey Dick, and Ja’Kobe Walter. However, based on the current half-season of rookie performance, Cedric Coward, the actual No. 11 pick by the Memphis Grizzlies, emerges as the best available player on the board. Coward has started over half of his games for the Grizzlies and has provided remarkably steady two-way productivity, even amidst some inconsistencies in his three-point shooting. If his perimeter shooting development continues, he fits the highly coveted archetype of a "3-and-D" wing, possessing exceptional length and defensive versatility. While Coward, at 22 years old, is older than many of his draft peers, it is important to note that he is truly just beginning to experience high-level competition, suggesting that his overall progression and skill refinement should continue significantly. His immediate impact and foundational skills make him an attractive option for a Raptors team looking to solidify its depth.

10. Phoenix Suns — Redraft pick: Egor Dėmin

The Phoenix Suns, who acquired this pick in the Kevin Durant trade, originally addressed a clear positional need at center by drafting Khaman Maluach. However, Maluach has not yet been deemed ready to contribute at the NBA level and is currently developing his considerable long-term potential in the G League. In this redraft, Egor Dėmin, the actual No. 8 pick by the Brooklyn Nets, becomes the logical choice. Dėmin has amply rewarded Brooklyn’s faith in him and fully justified his lottery selection. His combination of perimeter size and exceptional passing ability was his primary calling card entering the draft. Critically, the progress of his shooting has far exceeded all pre-draft expectations. Following the Christmas period, Dėmin was the sole rookie in the league to average at least 19 points, 7 three-point attempts, and four made three-pointers per 100 possessions, highlighting his burgeoning offensive prowess. While questions regarding his defensive consistency may persist, his contributions have been sufficiently solid to contribute to a Nets defense that ranked second in the league during the month of December.

11. Memphis Grizzlies — Redraft pick: Collin Murray-Boyles

The Memphis Grizzlies, through a trade that saw them move up from pick No. 16, originally selected Cedric Coward. This move has, thus far, proven to be a quality investment and a testament to their scouting evaluation. However, if Coward were already off the board in this redraft, Collin Murray-Boyles, the actual No. 9 pick by the Toronto Raptors, would offer an immediate return on investment, either for the Grizzlies or the Portland Trail Blazers, who originally held this selection. Murray-Boyles has consistently provided steady rotation minutes for a Toronto team that has made significant strides in the Eastern Conference. His play has been characterized by efficiency and relentless activity, making a tangible impact on games through his offensive rebounding and disruptive defense, frequently generating deflections. His consistent, impactful contributions demonstrate a readiness for NBA competition that would benefit any team seeking immediate production from a lottery pick.

12. Chicago Bulls — Redraft pick: Khaman Maluach

For the Chicago Bulls, who originally selected Essenque, the decision appears ripe for re-evaluation. Essenque’s last appearance on the court for the Bulls was on November 24th, where his performance suggested he was virtually unplayable at the NBA level. While the Frenchman only turned 19 three weeks prior to this assessment, indicating he remains a long-term developmental prospect, the retrospective decision not to select Derik Queen (who plays the same position and has excelled) appears increasingly indefensible. While more immediate impact options are available in this redraft, if the Bulls are committed to using a lottery pick on a high-upside, long-term prospect (presumably the methodology behind the Essengue pick), then Khaman Maluach, the actual No. 10 pick by the Phoenix Suns, makes strategic sense. While Maluach has not yet been ready for significant rotation minutes in the NBA, optimism regarding his future potential remains high, attributed to his massive size, exceptional length, and impressive mobility for a player of his stature.

13. New Orleans Pelicans — Redraft pick: Ryan Kalkbrenner

The New Orleans Pelicans’ original draft night move involved trading up with the Atlanta Hawks, relinquishing the 23rd pick and an unprotected future first-round pick in 2026. While their evaluation of Derik Queen, their actual pick at this spot, proved accurate regarding his talent, Queen is no longer available in this redraft scenario. Given the current board, Ryan Kalkbrenner, the actual No. 13 pick by the Charlotte Hornets, emerges as a compelling selection. Kalkbrenner has immediately stepped into a Day 1 starting center role for Charlotte, demonstrating a readiness for the professional game. While he may not provide the frontcourt playmaking vision of a player like Queen, Kalkbrenner offers a robust set of skills that translate directly to winning. He is a formidable rim protector, an exceptionally efficient finisher around the basket, a strong offensive rebounder, and a dominant force in drop coverage defense. His ability to contribute immediate minutes and impact games positively makes him a valuable asset for the Pelicans, addressing their interior needs with a proven, impactful presence.

14. San Antonio Spurs — Redraft pick: Carter Bryant

The San Antonio Spurs, who originally selected Carter Bryant, conclude the lottery in this redraft. The positive news for the Spurs is that the franchise appears to be ahead of schedule in its rebuilding process, potentially positioning them as contenders in the near future. The challenging aspect for developmental wings like the 20-year-old Bryant is the limited playing time available on a competitive roster. Bryant has thus far received only spot minutes, which are further reduced to negligible levels in close contests. Furthermore, his perimeter shooting, a key component of his projected NBA skill set, has not translated as hoped in these restricted opportunities. Long-term, it remains premature to dismiss an athletic "3-and-D" wing with quality size. However, in this redraft, a player like Ryan Kalkbrenner, who would have provided immediate impact, offered additional insurance for Victor Wembanyama, and afforded greater optionality for jumbo lineups, might have been a more prudent selection given the Spurs’ accelerated timeline.

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