The Ultimate Fighting Championship is set to stage UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett this Saturday at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, featuring a highly anticipated interim lightweight title bout between fourth-ranked Justin Gaethje and fifth-ranked Paddy Pimblett. This event carries additional weight as it signifies the debut of UFC numbered events on Paramount+, a pivotal shift in the promotion’s broadcasting strategy. Early preliminary fights are scheduled to commence at 5 p.m. ET, with the main card slated for approximately 9 p.m. ET.
The headlining act pits two of the lightweight division’s most exciting contenders against each other. Justin "The Highlight" Gaethje, known for his relentless pressure and knockout power, enters the octagon following a unanimous decision victory over Rafael Fiziev at UFC 313 last March. His opponent, the charismatic Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett, secured his spot in this interim title fight with a third-round TKO win against Michael Chandler at UFC 314 in April, extending his undefeated UFC run.
Betting Lines and Expert Analysis
Current odds from DraftKings Sportsbook position Pimblett as a -238 favorite, requiring a wager of $238 to yield $100. Gaethje, conversely, is listed as a +195 underdog, meaning a $100 bet would return $195. The over/under for total rounds is set at 2.5, with the "Over" at -120 and the "Under" at -110. These odds reflect Pimblett’s momentum and undefeated UFC record against Gaethje’s proven, but sometimes gruelling, style.
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Before finalising any betting selections for UFC 324, prospective bettors are advised to consider the insights of SportsLine’s seasoned MMA analyst, Kyle Marley. Marley has established a track record of consistent success in MMA betting, with his followers generating nearly $10,000 in profit over the past three-plus years. Since May 2018, Marley’s picks have collectively returned well over $21,000 to $100 bettors. His expertise was notably highlighted in 2020 when he accurately predicted five consecutive main-event underdog winners following the UFC’s pandemic-induced hiatus. More recently, he posted an impressive 9-2 record on his picks for the preceding UFC card, underscoring his analytical acumen.
Paramount+ Era for UFC
UFC 324 marks a significant transition in how fans can access the promotion’s premier events. The shift to Paramount+ means that every UFC numbered event and UFC Fight Night will now be streamed live at no additional cost for subscribers. This move eliminates the traditional pay-per-view model for these flagship cards, potentially making them more accessible to a broader audience. Beyond live events, Paramount+ subscribers will also gain access to pre-fight docuseries, full-length fight replays, and an extensive archive of past fights, enhancing the overall fan experience. This strategic broadcast change aims to integrate UFC content more deeply into a subscription-based streaming service, aligning with contemporary media consumption trends.
Gaethje vs. Pimblett: A Detailed Preview
Justin Gaethje, at 37 years old, brings a wealth of experience and a reputation for producing "Fight of the Year" contenders. His career began in 2011, culminating in an undefeated 18-0 record before his highly anticipated UFC debut in 2017. Throughout his professional career, Gaethje has amassed a record of 26 wins and 5 losses, with a remarkable 20 victories coming by knockout, one by submission, and five by decision.
A former NCAA Division I All-American in wrestling, Gaethje has seamlessly integrated his grappling background with an aggressive, high-volume striking approach. His ability to absorb punishment and retaliate with devastating power has earned him numerous UFC accolades, including the President’s Choice Fight of the Year award in both 2021 and 2024, alongside nominations in 2019 and 2023. Prior to his UFC tenure, Gaethje dominated the World Series of Fighting (WSOF) lightweight division, where he was a one-time champion with five successful title defenses. His amateur record of 7-0, including four knockouts, foreshadowed his professional trajectory as a formidable finisher. Gaethje’s recent form, with three wins in his last four outings, suggests he is operating at a high level, having recently overcome the tough Rafael Fiziev. His performance against Fiziev demonstrated his ability to grind out a decision victory against a dangerous striker, showcasing his evolution beyond purely brawling.
Paddy Pimblett, known as "The Baddy," is a dynamic and charismatic fighter who has quickly become a fan favourite since his UFC debut in 2021. The 31-year-old Liverpudlian began his professional journey in October 2012, initially competing at bantamweight before moving through catchweight, featherweight, and ultimately finding his stride in the lightweight division. Before joining the UFC, Pimblett built a solid foundation with a 16-3 record.
Since entering the UFC, Pimblett has maintained an unblemished 7-0 record, capturing the attention of fans and critics alike with his finishing instincts and entertaining persona. His performances have frequently earned him post-fight bonuses, including five Performance of the Night honours. In 2021, he was nominated for the UFC Fan’s Choice Debut of the Year for his explosive knockout win over Luigi Vendramini. His rapid ascent was further recognized in 2022 when he was named Breakout Fighter of the Year by the World MMA Awards. Pimblett also secured the 2024 Fan’s Choice Submission of the Year for his victory over King Green, highlighting his diverse skill set. A former Cage Warriors featherweight champion, Pimblett brings a strong grappling game, known for his opportunistic submissions, complemented by an ever-improving striking arsenal. His recent TKO win over veteran Michael Chandler was a significant statement, proving his ability to finish high-calibre opponents and solidifying his status as a legitimate contender.
The stylistic clash between Gaethje’s pressure striking and wrestling defense and Pimblett’s aggressive grappling and submission prowess promises a compelling encounter. Gaethje’s experience in five-round championship fights could be a factor, while Pimblett’s youthful exuberance and momentum present a formidable challenge.
Co-Main Event and Other Key Bouts
The co-main event at UFC 324 features a crucial bantamweight contest between third-ranked Sean O’Malley and fifth-ranked Song Yadong. O’Malley, currently listed at -218, is known for his unique striking techniques and flashy finishes, having risen rapidly through the ranks. Yadong, priced at +180, is a powerful and precise striker with a strong grappling background, seeking to break into the top tier of the division. This fight has significant implications for the bantamweight title picture, with the winner poised for a potential shot at gold.
Among other notable matchups on the main card, the heavyweight division will see Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-345) face off against the perennial knockout artist Derrick Lewis (+275). Lewis, despite his recent struggles, remains one of the most dangerous heavyweights in the sport dueess to his one-punch knockout power.
In the women’s flyweight division, Natalie Silva (-310) is slated to meet former strawweight champion Rose Namajunas (+250). This bout presents an opportunity for Silva to continue her ascent in the division against a high-profile opponent, while Namajunas looks to re-establish herself following a move to flyweight. Marley’s analysis specifically highlights this fight, with the expert backing Natalie Silva to defeat Rose Namajunas via unanimous decision. Marley stated, "Silva is on her way to the title, and Rose is on the decline. Both fighters are well-rounded, but I expect da Silva to have the higher pace and keep this fight standing. I will pick da Silva to win 2-3 rounds here, and I’d rather bet her decision prop." This detailed reasoning underscores the expert’s confidence in Silva’s current form and trajectory.
Another intriguing featherweight bout sees Arnold Allen (+170) against Jean Silva (-205). Allen, a consistent contender, will aim to halt the momentum of the rising Silva.
Comprehensive Betting Strategy
Kyle Marley has conducted an extensive review of the entire UFC 324 card, including detailed analysis for the Gaethje vs. Pimblett main event and all other significant matchups. In addition to his pick for the Silva vs. Namajunas fight, Marley has identified an underdog on the card whom he believes can "keep this fight close on the feet," presenting a valuable betting opportunity. His complete predictions and betting advice, including exact fight outcomes, are available exclusively through SportsLine.
For those interested in leveraging these insights, new users at DraftKings Sportsbook can currently receive $300 in bonus bets with a winning $5 wager. Similarly, new users utilizing the bet365 bonus code can secure $200 in bonus bets after placing an initial $5 bet, providing significant incentives for engaging with the UFC 324 betting market.
UFC 324 is poised to be a pivotal event for the lightweight division, with the interim title on the line and two of the sport’s most compelling fighters ready to collide. The shift in broadcast strategy to Paramount+ also marks a new chapter for the UFC, making this card a landmark occasion for both competitive action and fan access.
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