UFC 326 odds, lines, predictions, time: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 picks from proven MMA expert

Champion Max Holloway is scheduled to defend his symbolic UFC ‘BMF’ belt in a compelling lightweight rematch against the third-ranked contender and former UFC lightweight champion Charles Oliveira. The main event of UFC 326, branded "Holloway vs. Oliveira 2," is set to unfold at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Saturday, March 7, 2026. The preliminary fights are slated to commence at approximately 5 p.m. ET, leading into the main card, which is expected to begin around 9 p.m. ET. Live coverage of the event will be available on Paramount+, with a simulcast on CBS from 8 p.m. to 10 p.m. ET, covering a portion of the main card.

Holloway enters the bout following a unanimous decision victory over Dustin Poirier at UFC 318 on July 19, 2025, marking his successful return to the lightweight division. Oliveira, meanwhile, secured a submission win against Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot on October 11, 2025, reinforcing his formidable grappling prowess.

Current betting lines from DraftKings Sportsbook position Holloway as a -230 favorite, requiring a $230 wager to win $100. Oliveira, the challenger, is listed as a +175 underdog, meaning a $100 bet would yield a $175 profit. The co-main event features a middleweight clash between seventh-ranked Caio Borralho, favored at -250, and eighth-ranked Reinier De Ridder, who comes back at +205. For those considering wagers on UFC 326, expert analysis and betting advice are available from SportsLine’s seasoned MMA analyst, Kyle Marley.

Paramount+ serves as the exclusive platform for streaming every UFC numbered event and UFC Fight Night live, offered at no additional cost to subscribers. Beyond UFC, a Paramount+ subscription grants access to a broad spectrum of sports content, including the UEFA Champions League, college basketball, NFL, and Big Ten coverage on CBS, alongside a vast library of movies and shows. Plans begin at $8.99 per month. Additionally, new users at DraftKings Sportsbook can currently receive $200 in bonus bets with a winning first wager of $5 or more on UFC 326.

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Kyle Marley has established a notable track record in MMA betting, with $100 bettors who have followed his picks accumulating nearly $10,000 over the past three-plus years. Since May 2018, his advice has generated returns exceeding $21,000. Marley’s expertise includes correctly predicting five consecutive main-event underdog winners in 2020 following the UFC’s brief hiatus. His picks for the most recent UFC card also proved successful, with a 9-4 record. His consistent performance underscores the value of his detailed analysis for sports bettors. Marley has thoroughly assessed the Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 rematch, providing his top betting picks and best bets through SportsLine.

Holloway vs. Oliveira 2: Fighter Previews

Max Holloway, aged 34, is one of the most decorated fighters in UFC history. He is a former UFC featherweight champion and currently holds the symbolic UFC "BMF" title, a testament to his fan-favorite, relentless fighting style. Widely regarded as one of the greatest featherweights of all time, Holloway is presently ranked No. 4 in the UFC lightweight division and holds the No. 10 spot in the UFC men’s pound-for-pound rankings. His only previous encounter with Oliveira resulted in a TKO victory at UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Oliveira in August 2015, an early career stoppage for both athletes that belies their later development.

Holloway’s professional mixed martial arts career record stands at 27-8, comprising 12 victories by knockout, two by submission, and 13 by decision. He initiated his MMA journey in September 2010, securing a unanimous decision win over Duke Saragosa at X-1 World Events 36 in Honolulu, Hawaii. His UFC debut occurred on February 4, 2012, where he faced a submission loss to Dustin Poirier in his featherweight debut. By 2016, Holloway had ascended to capture the interim UFC featherweight championship, solidifying his status as a top-tier competitor. His fighting style is characterized by incredible striking volume, exceptional cardio, and an iron chin, making him a formidable challenge for any opponent. His recent victory over Poirier at lightweight demonstrated his adaptability and power in a heavier division, signaling his serious intent to contend for the lightweight title.

Charles Oliveira, 36, is an equally distinguished figure in the sport, renowned for his elite grappling and evolved striking. He is a fourth-degree black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and a former UFC lightweight champion, a title he earned through a remarkable resurgence in his career. Oliveira is currently ranked third in the highly competitive UFC lightweight division. His career accolades include four "Fight of the Night" bonuses and an impressive 14 "Performance of the Night" awards, highlighting his consistent ability to deliver exciting and decisive finishes. He was also recognized as the No. 3 Newcomer of the Year in 2010 and received "Submission of the Year" honors for his finish against Hatsu Hioki in 2014.

Across 48 professional bouts, Oliveira has compiled a record of 36-11 with one no-contest. His victories include 10 by knockout, a remarkable 22 by submission, and four by decision. Oliveira embarked on his professional career in 2008, winning the Predator FC 9 competition in Sao Paulo, Brazil. He joined the UFC roster in 2010 and quickly made an impact, winning his first 14 fights, including his initial two appearances in the organization. Oliveira’s evolution as a fighter has seen him transform from a pure submission specialist into a dangerous all-around threat, capable of knocking out opponents as well as submitting them with a vast array of techniques. His win over Gamrot showcased his continued dominance on the ground and his ability to finish fights rapidly.

The rematch between Holloway and Oliveira carries significant weight, as both fighters have matured immensely since their first meeting over a decade ago. Their initial clash was a brief affair, ending due to an injury to Oliveira, leaving many questions unanswered about their true competitive dynamic. This second encounter will test their respective evolutions, with Holloway’s relentless striking volume meeting Oliveira’s potent BJJ and improved stand-up. The stakes are particularly high in the lightweight division, where a victory could position either fighter for a shot at the undisputed title.

UFC 326 Betting Outlook and Expert Picks

The betting odds reflect Holloway’s status as a proven champion and his strong performance in his return to lightweight. However, Oliveira’s dangerous submission game and knockout power make him a live underdog, capable of finishing the fight at any moment. The significant number of finishes on Oliveira’s record, particularly by submission, presents a unique challenge for Holloway, who has shown incredible durability throughout his career.

SportsLine’s Kyle Marley has provided extensive predictions for the entire UFC 326 card. Among his early UFC 326 picks, Marley is backing Luke Fernandez (-218) to secure a victory via knockout against Rodolfo Bellato (+180) in a light heavyweight bout featured on the early preliminary card.

Marley elaborated on his reasoning, stating, "Fernandez is making his UFC debut here after a fast KO win on Dana White’s Contender Series, and he has a perfect 6-0 record. Bellato is well-rounded, so maybe the line is a bit wide against a guy this early in his career, but I do like Fernandez. He has a solid wrestling/grappling base, which I like to give him his biggest edge. He also has big KO power in his hands. I’ll take Fernandez by TKO or decision."

Beyond the main event, the UFC 326 card features several other compelling matchups. Rob Font (+220) is set to face the highly touted Raul Rosas Jr. (-270) in a bantamweight contest. The always-exciting Drew Dober (-120) takes on Michael Johnson (+100) in a lightweight battle. In the middleweight division, Gregory Rodrigues (-166) is slated to meet Brunno Ferreira (+140). Marley has strong picks for each of these bouts, including a specific endorsement for a fighter he believes possesses "a higher work rate" to emerge victorious.

Marley’s detailed picks and analysis for Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira, along with every other bout on the UFC 326 card, are available exclusively at SportsLine. Punters can access predictions on who wins Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 and the precise manner in which the fight is expected to conclude. New users can also claim the latest bet365 bonus code to receive $150 in bonus bets after placing a qualifying $5+ wager.

UFC 326 Main Fight Card, Odds (via DraftKings and subject to change):

  • Max Holloway (-230) vs. Charles Oliveira (+175)
  • Caio Borralho (-250) vs. Reinier De Ridder (+205)
  • Rob Font (+220) vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (-270)
  • Drew Dober (-120) vs. Michael Johnson (+100)
  • Gregory Rodrigues (-166) vs. Brunno Ferreira (+140)

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