Austin, Texas – Tyler Reddick, the current championship leader in the NASCAR Cup Series, arrives at the Circuit of the Americas (COTA) this weekend with the potential to etch his name into the sport’s record books in a way never before accomplished. Following two dramatic victories to open the 2024 season, Reddick is aiming for a third consecutive win, a feat that has eluded every driver in the modern era at the start of a new campaign.
The 23XI Racing driver has already navigated a remarkable opening to the season. He secured his first career Daytona 500 victory by strategically leading only the final lap, a testament to his late-race prowess. Just seven days later at Atlanta Motor Speedway, Reddick showcased resilience and determination, overcoming a significant late-race incident that saw his No. 45 Toyota lose its entire right-front fender. He managed to rally, forcing a double-overtime finish where he ultimately claimed his second consecutive win.
This current streak places Reddick in an elite group of six drivers who have opened a NASCAR Cup Series season with back-to-back victories. The last driver to achieve this was Jeff Gordon in 2009. However, the historical data indicates a significant hurdle: none of the five drivers who preceded Reddick in achieving consecutive season-opening wins were able to extend their run to a third victory.
The statistical significance of Reddick’s potential achievement cannot be overstated. While NASCAR has witnessed drivers secure three or even four consecutive wins during a season, achieving this at the very outset of a new championship year represents a unique challenge, often attributed to the unpredictable nature of early-season racing and the inherent difficulty of maintaining peak performance across diverse track types.
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Reddick’s strong performance is further bolstered by his historical data at COTA. Despite the formidable presence of reigning Supercars champion Shane van Gisbergen, who is widely considered the favorite on road courses and seeks his sixth consecutive win on a street or road circuit, Reddick boasts the best average finish among all competitors at the Texas facility. Furthermore, he has accumulated the most top-five and top-ten finishes at COTA, underscoring his proficiency on this specific track.
To understand the magnitude of what Reddick might achieve, it is instructive to examine the previous instances of drivers opening a season with two consecutive wins and the circumstances that prevented them from completing the "three-peat":
Matt Kenseth – 2009:
Kenseth began the 2009 season with a victory in the rain-shortened Daytona 500, followed by a win at Auto Club Speedway in Fontana, California, the subsequent week. His bid for a third consecutive win was unfortunately cut short at the third race of the season in Las Vegas. Kenseth’s No. 17 Roush Fenway Racing Ford suffered an engine failure after completing only a handful of laps, resulting in a 43rd-place finish and ending his early-season momentum.
Jeff Gordon – 1997:
The legendary Jeff Gordon achieved back-to-back wins to open the 1997 season, taking the checkered flag at Daytona and Rockingham. He was a strong contender at Richmond Raceway for the third event. Starting second, Gordon led the initial 65 laps of the race. However, he was unable to regain the lead. In the closing stages, while attempting to unlap himself, Gordon made contact with the race leader. Although a caution flag was displayed shortly thereafter, the #24 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet was beaten to the line by the leaders, leaving Gordon one lap down in fourth place. Despite not achieving the three-peat, Gordon holds the distinction of being the only driver to start a season with two consecutive wins and subsequently go on to win the championship that year.
David Pearson – 1976:
David Pearson, a two-time Cup Series champion, opened the 1976 season with a victory at Riverside International Raceway, followed by a dramatic win in the Daytona 500. His triumph at Daytona was marked by a last-lap collision with Richard Petty, with Pearson’s car famously limping across the finish line with significant damage. The third race of the season was held at Rockingham. Pearson, driving for the Wood Brothers, started fourth and led a few laps early on. However, an oil pump failure ended his race prematurely, resulting in a 29th-place finish.
Bob Welborn – 1959:
Bob Welborn’s 1959 season began with a victory at the Champion Speedway short track. He then secured a win in his Duel qualifying race at Daytona, which at the time counted as official race wins. Welborn started from pole position for the Daytona 500, the third race of the season. However, his engine failed 75 laps into the race, leading to a 41st-place DNF and halting his early-season success.
Marvin Panch – 1957:
Marvin Panch opened the 1957 season with a win at the Willow Springs road course. The season commenced in December 1956. His second consecutive victory came at the Concord Speedway dirt track. The third race of the season was held at the Titusville-Cocoa Speedway, another road course. Panch qualified sixth and finished third, marking the closest any driver on this historical list came to achieving three consecutive wins at the start of a season.
Reddick’s current form, coupled with his statistical advantage at COTA, positions him as a significant contender. The Circuit of the Americas, a 3.41-mile road course known for its challenging turns and elevation changes, demands precision and adaptability from drivers. Reddick’s ability to perform under pressure, as demonstrated in his Atlanta victory, suggests he possesses the mental fortitude required for such a historic endeavor.
The 2024 NASCAR Cup Series season has already provided thrilling narratives, and Tyler Reddick’s pursuit of an unprecedented start adds another compelling chapter. As the series heads to Austin, all eyes will be on Reddick and the No. 45 23XI Racing team to see if they can defy history and achieve what no driver has done before: winning the first three races of a NASCAR Cup Series season.
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