Anshari Taslim
The Frost Bank Center in San Antonio is set to host a crucial Texas derby on Saturday, February 7, 2026, as the San Antonio Spurs, spearheaded by phenom Victor Wembanyama, welcome the Dallas Mavericks, featuring rising star Cooper Flagg. This matchup carries significant weight for both franchises, with the Spurs aiming to solidify their dominant position in the Western Conference and the Mavericks desperately seeking to halt a protracted losing streak. Tipoff is scheduled for 6 p.m. ET.
San Antonio enters this contest in formidable form, currently holding the second seed in the Western Conference standings with an impressive 35-17 record. Their recent performances underscore a team hitting its stride, having secured four victories in their last five outings. This includes a decisive 135-123 road win against these very Mavericks just two nights prior, on Thursday, signaling a potential for a series sweep on their home court. The Spurs’ ascension to a top-tier contender this season has largely been attributed to the transformative impact of Victor Wembanyama, whose unique blend of size, skill, and defensive prowess has reshaped the team’s identity and elevated their competitive ceiling. His contributions on both ends of the floor have been instrumental in San Antonio’s strong start, placing them firmly in the conversation for deep playoff contention. However, the Spurs face a potential challenge with guard De’Aaron Fox listed as questionable for Saturday’s game due to a back injury. Fox’s playmaking and scoring ability are integral to San Antonio’s offensive flow, and his absence could require other players to step up in a significant way.
Conversely, the Dallas Mavericks find themselves in a challenging period, currently languishing in 12th place in the Western Conference with a 19-32 record. Their recent struggles are stark, marked by a six-game losing streak that has seen them slide down the standings. The Mavericks’ season has been a rollercoaster of inconsistency, and their current slump highlights pressing issues that need immediate addressing. Despite the presence of young superstar Cooper Flagg, who continues to showcase his immense talent and potential, the team has struggled to convert individual brilliance into consistent team victories. Flagg’s ability to impact the game offensively and defensively offers a glimpse into a promising future, but the immediate challenge for Dallas is to find a collective rhythm and defensive cohesion. The Thursday night defeat to the Spurs was particularly disheartening, as they allowed San Antonio to score 135 points, indicating vulnerabilities that the Spurs exploited effectively. Breaking this losing streak against a high-flying Spurs team on their home turf presents a formidable test for the Mavericks’ resilience and strategic adjustments.
The previous encounter between these two Texas-based rivals on Thursday provided a clear illustration of their current trajectories. The Spurs’ 135-123 victory was characterized by efficient offense and timely defense, allowing them to control the pace and dictate terms for much of the game. While specific individual performances from that game were not detailed, the high-scoring affair suggests that both teams possess offensive firepower, but San Antonio demonstrated superior execution and defensive solidity when it mattered most. The quick turnaround for a rematch offers the Mavericks an immediate opportunity for redemption, but it also means they must quickly address the issues that plagued them in the first meeting, particularly their defensive vulnerabilities against San Antonio’s potent attack. The Spurs, on the other hand, will be looking to replicate their success, leveraging their home-court advantage and current momentum to secure a crucial win and further distance themselves in the standings.
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The betting lines for this anticipated rematch reflect San Antonio’s strong position and recent form. The Spurs are favored by 9.5 points against the Mavericks, underscoring the perceived gap between the two teams. The over/under for total points in the game is set at 231.5, suggesting expectations for another high-scoring contest. The money line odds see the Spurs at -417, indicating a strong likelihood of victory, while the Mavericks are at +322 as underdogs. Fans can stream the game live on Prime.
For those engaging with NBA betting, the SportsLine Projection Model offers data-driven insights. This sophisticated model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, providing predictions based on extensive statistical analysis. Over the past eight-plus seasons, the SportsLine model has generated substantial returns, exceeding $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks. Notably, the model has been on an impressive run, with a 38-16 record on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to the previous season, entering Week 16 of the 2025-26 NBA campaign.
Following its 10,000 simulations of the Spurs vs. Mavericks game, the SportsLine Projection Model has revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. The model indicates a strong lean towards the Under on the total points, set at 231.5. It projects a combined score of 230 points, with the Under hitting 52% of the time. This prediction aligns with recent trends observed in both teams’ games: seven of the last nine San Antonio games have gone Under the total, and four of the past six Dallas games have also seen the total fall below the line. Furthermore, the model suggests that one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time, providing a high-confidence pick for astute bettors.
New users interested in sports betting can explore various promotional offers. The DraftKings promo code offers $300 in bonus bets if a qualifying $5+ bet wins, while the bet365 bonus code provides $100 in bonus bets after placing a $10 wager. These offers provide an accessible entry point for individuals looking to participate in the betting market.
As the Spurs aim to continue their ascent in the Western Conference and the Mavericks fight to snap their prolonged slump, Saturday’s game is more than just another regular-season fixture; it is a test of current form, resilience, and the burgeoning rivalry between two Texas teams featuring generational talents. The outcome will have implications for both teams’ standings and morale as the NBA season progresses. For the complete breakdown of which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time and all other expert NBA picks, enthusiasts are directed to the SportsLine Projection Model’s detailed analysis.
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