Atlanta Hawks forward Jalen Johnson has distinguished himself as one of only two players in the National Basketball Association currently averaging at least 20 points, 9 rebounds, 7 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. The other player achieving these statistical benchmarks is Nikola Jokic, widely recognized as the best player in the world. Johnson’s exceptional performance has solidified his status as the Atlanta Hawks’ leading player, positioning him as an early contender for his inaugural All-Star selection.
The structure of the upcoming All-Star rosters, under the league’s newly introduced format, remains subject to finalization. However, Johnson’s statistical output and on-court impact have been consistent with All-Star level play, regardless of his eventual official designation. His recent performance on Sunday, contributing to a victory against the Charlotte Hornets, marked a significant milestone in Hawks franchise history, underscoring his rising prominence.
Johnson possesses an athletic profile characterized by exceptional physical attributes, which are now translating into a fully developed and refined skill set. His combination of size, speed, and vertical leaping ability could, for many players, lead to rushed or forced offensive attempts. However, Johnson demonstrates a remarkable aptitude for operating at a high pace without exhibiting hurried decision-making, a trait frequently observed in elite-level players.
A league scout, speaking to CBS Sports, commented on Johnson’s unique on-court demeanor: "That’s something that has always stuck out to me [about Johnson]. He covers ground so easily; his head is always up. He’s never out of control. You talk about guys who just look comfortable out there. He’s processing a bunch of high-level stuff, mostly on the fly. … I haven’t watched a ton of their stuff this year, but I guarantee [the Hawks are] thrilled with what he’s doing." This observation highlights Johnson’s advanced court vision and ability to maintain composure under pressure, attributes that facilitate effective decision-making in fast-break scenarios and half-court sets alike.
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An illustrative example of Johnson’s composed play occurred during a transition possession where he methodically surveyed the court while trailing the play. Upon receiving the ball, he executed a calm shot fake, effectively drawing the defender, before driving downhill without any perceptible rush. This measured approach, particularly for a player possessing his considerable speed, indicates a high basketball IQ and an ability to control the tempo of the game.
Johnson has become a central figure in Atlanta’s offensive strategy, which, at its most effective, is characterized by aggressive, high-pressure play. The Hawks currently force opponents into an average of 16.8 turnovers per game, ranking fifth league-wide. This defensive intensity translates directly into offensive opportunities, with Atlanta converting these turnovers into 22.3 points per game, the third-highest mark in the league. Johnson’s ability to facilitate and finish in transition is integral to this system.
Beyond the overarching team strategy, Johnson’s individual evolution is evident in specific aspects of his game. The aforementioned shot fake, for instance, has become a potent weapon due to his significantly improved perimeter shooting. Johnson is currently shooting 41.5% from three-point range, a notable increase from his 31% mark last season. This efficiency is particularly striking given a challenging start to the season, where he converted only 1 of 11 three-point attempts over his first five games. Over his subsequent 11 games, his three-point percentage surged to 50%, making 21 of 42 attempts.
The same league scout commented on Johnson’s shooting progression, stating, "I don’t know if he’ll stay up above 40 [percent], but I don’t think that’s a fluke or anything. You could see these last few years his confidence [as a shooter] was growing. Again, I would use the word comfortable. … I think he probably still prefers to drive it, but now he can beat you both ways." This improved shooting forces defenders to respect his perimeter threat, opening up driving lanes and enhancing his overall offensive versatility.
Johnson’s offensive efficiency is further substantiated by advanced metrics. His 130.2 points per 100 shots, according to Cleaning the Glass (CTG), ranks 13th among all players with at least a 25% usage rate. This figure is nearly identical to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s 130.6 and surpasses the efficiency ratings of several prominent players, including Luka Doncic, Kevin Durant, Jalen Brunson, Devin Booker, and Victor Wembanyama. This places Johnson in an elite category for scoring efficiency among high-volume offensive contributors.
Combining his newfound perimeter shooting prowess with his established ability as a high-flying, powerful finisher, Johnson presents a multifaceted offensive threat. He has amassed 208 paint points, a total exceeded by only six other players in the league. His 62 fast-break points rank 12th, and his 26 dunks place him 17th league-wide, showcasing his effectiveness in attacking the rim and in transition. Furthermore, his increasing capability to initiate and lead breaks as a de facto point guard adds another dimension to his game.
Standing at 6-foot-8, Johnson’s physical tools make him a formidable force as both a scorer and a facilitator in the open court. However, even for a team like Atlanta that prioritizes pace, over 80% of possessions occur in the half-court. For Johnson to truly establish himself as a primary offensive option, his ability to create and make plays in congested half-court environments is crucial. He has demonstrated consistent improvement in this area, contributing effectively both as the primary ball-handler initiating offense and as a roll man in pick-and-roll situations.
Johnson’s assist rate, measured at 30.9% by CTG, is a significant statistic, particularly for a forward. Among players listed as forwards, only Giannis Antetokounmpo posts a higher assist rate. While direct comparisons to Antetokounmpo in overall impact remain premature, the statistical similarity in playmaking for their respective positions is noteworthy. Johnson’s ability to orchestrate offense from a forward position draws parallels to players often described as "point-forwards."
To contextualize Johnson’s playmaking, his 30.9% assist rate is higher than those posted by established passing big men such as Alperen Sengun of the Houston Rockets, who serves as a primary offensive hub, as well as Domantas Sabonis and Bam Adebayo, both renowned for their high-post passing and playmaking. While it would be an overstatement to place Johnson at the prime playmaking level of Draymond Green, his ability to dissect defenses with advanced passing and foresight is rapidly approaching a comparable standard.
This evolving capability to orchestrate offense from various positions represents a significant shift for a Hawks team that has, for an extended period, relied on Trae Young’s predictable yet highly effective method of operation. With Young, the offensive approach is generally characterized by him possessing the ball at the top of the key and initiating pick-and-roll actions. Last season, with Young on the floor, the Hawks posted an offensive rating of 117.4. This season, Atlanta has maintained an almost identical offensive rating of 117.4 with Johnson on the court and Young off, according to CTG. This suggests that the team’s offensive efficiency has remained consistent even in Young’s absence, with Johnson playing a pivotal role.
However, a crucial distinction emerges on the defensive end of the court. With Young on the floor last season, the Hawks recorded a defensive rating of 116.8. This season, Atlanta has posted a defensive rating of 111.7 with Johnson on the court and Young off, a mark that would place them among the top five defensive teams in the league. This defensive improvement is substantial, especially considering the Hawks have consistently ranked in the bottom 5-10 defensively over the past three seasons with Young as a primary fixture.
Since Young sustained an MCL sprain on October 29, the Hawks have demonstrated a marked improvement defensively, ranking as the seventh-best defense in the league during this period. Crucially, their offensive output has not declined, maintaining an offensive rating of 118.4 since Young’s injury, which is nearly identical to the marks Atlanta has boasted with Young on the court at any point over the last three seasons.
This shift in team performance cannot be attributed solely to Johnson. The Hawks have incorporated several new players who align with Johnson’s profile: versatile, two-way athletes capable of contributing defensively without solely dominating offensive possessions as a primary ball-handler. This strategic acquisition of complementary pieces has fostered a more balanced team identity.
Across the NBA, successful teams frequently mirror the characteristics and playing style of their premier player. The current trajectory suggests the Hawks are increasingly becoming Johnson’s team. While Young’s elite ball-handling and offensive creation remain valuable assets, particularly in half-court settings, the team’s recent performance suggests a potential shift in foundational identity. A scenario exists where Young could thrive upon his return, integrating with a more robust defensive unit and operating alongside Johnson at this elevated level. However, the data indicates a clear departure from the team’s previous reliance on a singular offensive archetype. Historically, the "Young’s team" model frequently led to play-in tournament appearances. Prior to Young’s injury, the Hawks held a 1-3 record. Since then, including a victory against Brooklyn where Young played only seven minutes, the team has compiled a 10-4 record.
The reintegration of Young into the lineup presents a significant strategic challenge for the Hawks. Questions arise regarding whether his return will inevitably lead to a reversion to previous offensive structures and, consequently, a decline in defensive efficacy. Should the team’s defensive improvements falter upon his return, it could prompt considerations regarding potential trade scenarios involving Young. His contract situation, with eligibility for a new deal this summer, adds another layer of complexity. The Hawks have not publicly indicated an intention to offer him a max contract, and current performance metrics suggest that the distinction of the team’s best player has transitioned to Johnson.
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