UFC 320 odds, props, predictions, fight card: Ankalaev vs. Pereira expert picks

In the main event, reigning light heavyweight champion Magomed Ankalaev (20-1, 1 NC) is set to defend his title for the second time against former champion Alex Pereira (12-3). This bout marks their second encounter this year, following Ankalaev’s decisive unanimous decision victory over Pereira at UFC 313 in March. The Dagestani champion enters the rematch as the betting favorite, currently listed at -238, indicating that a wager of $238 would be required to yield a $100 profit. Pereira, the challenger, stands as the underdog at +195, meaning a $100 stake could return a $195 profit if he reclaims the title. These odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and are subject to fluctuation.

Ankalaev, 33, has established himself as one of the most dominant forces in the light heavyweight division. His professional record reflects a remarkable run, with 12 victories in his last 14 outings, accompanied by one draw and one no-contest. His sole professional defeat occurred in his UFC debut on March 17, 2018, when he was submitted by Paul Craig. Since that initial setback, Ankalaev has remained unbeaten, building an impressive resume that includes a nine-fight win streak, tying him with Carlos Ulberg for the second-longest streak in UFC light heavyweight history. His 14-fight unbeaten run is also the fifth-longest in overall UFC history. Known for his methodical striking, strong wrestling base, and exceptional fight IQ, Ankalaev earned the light heavyweight championship with his victory over Pereira, becoming the first Russian fighter to hold the title in the division. His recent no-contest against Johnny Walker in October 2023 was due to an illegal knee, an unfortunate incident that paused his momentum but did not register as a loss on his record. Ankalaev’s accolades also include four Performance of the Night bonuses and three World MMA Association championships prior to his UFC tenure, underscoring his consistent excellence in the sport.

Opposing him is Alex Pereira, 38, a formidable striker recognized for his devastating power and unique journey through combat sports. Ranked 10th in the UFC men’s pound-for-pound rankings, Pereira transitioned from a decorated kickboxing career, where he held titles in multiple organizations and compiled an impressive 33-7 record with 21 knockout victories. His entry into MMA in 2015 saw an initial submission loss, but he quickly rebounded, joining the UFC in November 2021. Within a short span, Pereira captured both the UFC middleweight and light heavyweight championships, becoming the first and only fighter to achieve this feat. He initially won the light heavyweight title by defeating Jiří Procházka at UFC 295, successfully defended it against Jamahal Hill at UFC 300, before ultimately relinquishing it to Ankalaev at UFC 313. Pereira’s MMA record of 12-3 includes 10 victories by knockout, a testament to his formidable striking arsenal. His ability to adapt and perform at the highest level across two weight classes underscores his elite athleticism and fighting prowess. The rematch against Ankalaev presents Pereira with an opportunity to reclaim the title and further solidify his legacy.

The co-main event of UFC 320 features a highly anticipated bantamweight showdown with significant title implications, as Merab Dvalishvili (17-4) faces Cory Sandhagen (17-5). While not explicitly for an undisputed championship, this bout is widely considered a de facto number one contender fight, positioning the winner for a future title shot against the current bantamweight champion, Sean O’Malley. Dvalishvili enters the contest as a substantial favorite at -395, reflecting his dominant run in the division, while Sandhagen is listed as the underdog at +310.

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Merab Dvalishvili, known as "The Machine," has built an impressive nine-fight win streak, characterized by his relentless wrestling, suffocating pressure, and seemingly inexhaustible cardio. The Georgian fighter’s style often overwhelms opponents, as he continuously pursues takedowns and maintains control on the mat. His ascent through the bantamweight ranks has been undeniable, with victories over several top contenders. Cory Sandhagen, conversely, is celebrated for his dynamic and unorthodox striking, exceptional footwork, and well-rounded skill set. "The Sandman" has faced a murderers’ row of opponents in the bantamweight division, showcasing his ability to adapt and finish fights in various ways. This stylistic clash between Dvalishvili’s grappling-heavy attack and Sandhagen’s creative striking promises a compelling contest that could dictate the future of the bantamweight division.

Beyond the two headlining attractions, the UFC 320 main card features several other compelling matchups:

Jiří Procházka (-205) vs. Khalil Rountree (+170): A light heavyweight clash featuring two powerful strikers. Procházka, a former light heavyweight champion, is known for his unpredictable and aggressive style, having delivered numerous highlight-reel finishes. Rountree, a heavy-handed knockout artist, has showcased significant improvements in his game, making this a potential "Fight of the Night" candidate.
Josh Emmett (+360) vs. Youssef Zalal (-470): A featherweight bout pitting veteran power against emerging talent. Emmett, a seasoned contender with undeniable knockout power, looks to rebound against Zalal, a rising prospect who has impressed with his versatile skill set and aggressive approach. Zalal enters as a considerable favorite, highlighting the perceived gap in current form.
Abus Magomedov (+195) vs. Joe Pyfer (-238): A middleweight encounter that promises fireworks. Magomedov, known for his explosive striking and fast finishes, aims to establish himself as a serious contender. He faces Pyfer, a powerful striker with a strong wrestling background, who has consistently delivered exciting performances in the octagon. Pyfer is favored in this matchup, suggesting confidence in his ability to control the pace and power exchanges.

Insights into these matchups have been provided by combat sports analyst Daniel Vithlani, known as "Danny Brasco" to his followers. Vithlani has garnered a reputation for his analytical approach to UFC betting, demonstrating a consistent winning record for SportsLine members since his debut in January 2023, where he posted a 5-0 record for UFC 283. His track record includes correctly predicting an upset for Sean O’Malley (+210) against Aljamain Sterling (-250) at UFC 292, contributing to a 4-1 main card performance. Vithlani also accurately identified underdog winners at UFC 299, including Dustin Poirier (+190) against Benoit Saint Denis (-230) and Michael Page (+110) against Kevin Holland (-130).

Offering a glimpse into his analytical process, Vithlani has weighed in on a preliminary welterweight bout between Punahale Soriano (-395) and Nikolay Veretennikov (+310). Vithlani notes, "Soriano has elevated his game since joining Xtreme Couture MMA gym. He is now on a two-fight win streak in which he controlled one opponent with his wrestling and put the other’s lights out with his knockout power. Soriano throws heavy hooks and overhand shots, which help him close the distance to get to his wrestling attack. Veretennikov may be the more technical striker, but I think he will be taken down multiple times. In his last fight against a 21-year-old prospect, Veretennikov won a split decision that I do not feel he deserved. Against the veteran wrestler Austin Vanderford, Veretennikov had no answers with his defensive grappling and was totally dominated on the mat. Soriano can look to exploit him on the ground." This detailed analysis underscores the strategic considerations involved in professional mixed martial arts matchups, examining stylistic advantages and potential vulnerabilities.

UFC 320 promises a night of high-stakes competition, with championships on the line and divisional rankings in flux. From the highly anticipated main event rematch between Ankalaev and Pereira to the pivotal bantamweight clash and an array of compelling bouts throughout the card, fight fans can anticipate a memorable evening of elite mixed martial arts.