Ali Akbar Rosady
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Las Vegas, NV – The Ultimate Fighting Championship returns to the T-Mobile Arena this Saturday, July 12, 2026, for UFC 329, headlined by one of the most anticipated rematches in the promotion’s history: Conor McGregor versus Max Holloway. The event marks McGregor’s return to the Octagon after a five-year hiatus, facing an opponent he last defeated thirteen years ago. Alongside the main event, a stacked 14-fight card features compelling matchups, including a lightweight co-main event between Paddy Pimblett and Benoit Saint Denis, and can be explored for event contract trading via Kalshi, utilizing the promo code CBSSPORTS for new users.
McGregor vs. Holloway 2: A Decades-Long Rivalry Rekindled
The main event pits two of the sport’s most iconic figures against each other for the second time. Conor McGregor (22-6), arguably the biggest draw in mixed martial arts history, steps back into competitive action for the first time since July 2021, when he suffered a first-round TKO loss to Dustin Poirier. His opponent, Max Holloway (27-9), widely considered one of the greatest featherweights of all time, has remained significantly more active, competing eight times since McGregor’s last bout.
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Their initial encounter took place on August 17, 2013, at a UFC Fight Night event, where McGregor secured a unanimous decision victory over a then-up-and-coming Holloway. Both fighters would subsequently go on to capture UFC championships, with McGregor becoming the first simultaneous two-division champion and Holloway establishing a dominant reign at featherweight. The rematch, however, shifts from featherweight to welterweight (170 lbs), adding another layer of intrigue given McGregor’s recent history at higher weight classes and Holloway’s consistent presence at 145 lbs, with a recent foray into lightweight. Holloway enters this fight following a loss to Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 in March, a result he will be keen to rebound from against his storied rival.
Market analysts on platforms like Kalshi, a federally regulated event contract exchange, reflect the uncertainty surrounding McGregor’s return and the shift in weight class. As of July 11, McGregor is priced at $0.36 per share to win, while Holloway trades at $0.64 per share, indicating a strong lean towards Holloway based on his recent activity and consistency. For those interested in trading on the outcome, the Kalshi platform offers a new user promotion: a $15 trading bonus after making $15 worth of trades using the promo code CBSSPORTS.
Co-Main Event: Pimblett Faces Saint Denis in Lightweight Showdown
The co-main event features a high-stakes lightweight clash between England’s Paddy Pimblett (23-4) and France’s Benoit Saint Denis (17-3). Pimblett, known for his flamboyant personality and aggressive fighting style, saw his nine-fight winning streak snapped in January at UFC 324, suffering his first UFC loss and his first overall defeat since 2018 against Justin Gaethje. Historically, Pimblett has never lost consecutive fights in his professional career, a streak he aims to maintain.
Saint Denis, a former special forces operator, has rapidly ascended the lightweight ranks with his relentless pressure and finishing prowess. He enters UFC 329 on a four-fight winning streak, with all 17 of his professional MMA victories coming by way of finish, 15 of which occurred in the first two rounds. "God of War" also boasts the highest significant strike accuracy in UFC lightweight history, making him a formidable challenge for Pimblett. Kalshi’s markets price Saint Denis at $0.55 per share to win, with Pimblett as the underdog at $0.45 per share, reflecting Saint Denis’s recent momentum and finishing ability.
Undercard Highlights: Rematches and Rising Contenders
UFC 329 features several other compelling bouts:
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Cory Sandhagen (18-6) vs. Mario Bautista (17-3) – Bantamweight: This bantamweight rematch revisits a 2019 encounter where Sandhagen secured a first-round submission victory. Sandhagen, once an undefeated prospect, has a 3-5 record in his last eight fights after an 8-0 start. Bautista, conversely, has thrived since his UFC debut loss to Sandhagen, compiling an 11-2 record in the promotion and winning nine of his last ten bouts, including a recent victory over Vinicius Oliveira in February. Kalshi prices Sandhagen at $0.58 per share, with Bautista at $0.42.
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Brandon Royval (17-9) vs. Lone’er Kavanagh (10-1) – Flyweight: In the flyweight division, Brandon Royval, coming off consecutive losses for the second time in his career, faces the promising Lone’er Kavanagh. Kavanagh, with a 1-1 record in his four UFC appearances after an undefeated 9-0 start to his professional MMA career, secured a unanimous decision win over Brandon Moreno in February. Notably, Kavanagh has demonstrated strong defensive grappling, stopping 16 of 17 takedown attempts in his UFC tenure. Kavanagh is favored at $0.66 per share, while Royval is at $0.34.
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King Green (35-17-1, 1 NC) vs. Terrance McKinney (18-8) – Lightweight: "King" Green, a veteran of the sport, is making his third appearance of 2026 and his second in just 63 days, having last fought at UFC 328 in May. He rides a three-fight winning streak into this matchup. Terrance McKinney is renowned for his explosiveness, holding the shortest average fight time in UFC lightweight history. All 18 of McKinney’s professional wins have come inside the distance (9 KOs, 9 submissions), with eight of those victories occurring in under a minute and 17 in the first round. McKinney is priced at $0.56 per share, with Green at $0.44.
Event Contract Trading with Kalshi: An Introduction
For those looking to engage with UFC 329 beyond traditional viewership, Kalshi offers a unique platform for event contract trading. As a federally regulated exchange supervised by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Kalshi allows users to trade on the outcome of real-world events, including sporting contests. The platform is accessible in all 50 U.S. states and Washington D.C., though specific markets may be restricted in certain jurisdictions due to ongoing legal evaluations.
New users can sign up and claim a $15 trading bonus after making $15 worth of trades using the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS. The platform’s app provides a wide array of markets for UFC fights, not limited to just predicting the winner. Traders can speculate on specific methods of victory (e.g., Holloway via KO/TKO/DQ at $0.53 per share), whether a fight will go the distance, the round of victory, or the method of finish.
Understanding the Evolving Legal Landscape of Prediction Markets
While Kalshi operates under federal regulation, the legal landscape for prediction markets, particularly those involving sports, remains dynamic. Several states have initiated actions against these platforms, citing their resemblance to state-regulated sports betting. This has led to an evolving environment where some states may impose restrictions on certain markets or the entirety of the platform during ongoing legal disputes. As of July 2026, while Kalshi is generally available across the U.S., users in states such as Michigan and Nevada may find sports markets unavailable, and other states like Arizona, California, Illinois, Maryland, Massachusetts, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin may have limited access or be restricted during active lawsuits.
UFC 329 Broadcast Details
UFC 329 will be streamed exclusively on Paramount+, the official home for all UFC premium live events. The early prelims are scheduled to begin at 5 p.m. ET, followed by the preliminary card at 7 p.m. ET, and the main card kicking off at 9 p.m. ET. Unlike traditional pay-per-view models, all UFC numbered events, including UFC 329, are offered to Paramount+ subscribers at no additional cost. Subscription options include the ad-supported Paramount+ Essential plan at $8.99 per month, or the ad-free Paramount+ Premium, which includes SHOWTIME Originals and live CBS local broadcasts.
UFC 329 is poised to be a landmark event, not only for the highly anticipated McGregor-Holloway rematch but also for its implications across multiple divisions. As fighters prepare to step into the Octagon, the world of event contract trading offers fans another dimension of engagement with the sport.
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