Ali Akbar Rosady
The T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is set to host a pivotal lightweight rematch as Max Holloway, the reigning symbolic UFC ‘BMF’ belt holder, faces off against third-ranked Charles Oliveira in the main event of UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 this Saturday. This clash marks a significant moment in the careers of both decorated fighters, nearly a decade after their initial encounter. Early preliminary bouts are slated to commence at approximately 5 p.m. ET, with the main card scheduled to begin at 9 p.m. ET. The event will be broadcast live on Paramount+, with a simulcast of key fights on CBS from 8 to 10 p.m. ET.
Max Holloway, aged 34, enters this bout following a dominant unanimous decision victory over Dustin Poirier at UFC 318 on July 19, 2025, a performance that solidified his return to the lightweight division. His opponent, 36-year-old Charles Oliveira, secured his spot in this high-stakes rematch with a submission win against Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot on October 11, 2025, further underscoring his reputation as one of the sport’s most dangerous finishers.
Current betting lines from DraftKings Sportsbook position Max Holloway as a -230 favorite, requiring a wager of $230 to yield $100 in profit. Charles Oliveira, conversely, is listed as a +175 underdog, meaning a $100 bet would return $175 if he emerges victorious. These odds reflect the competitive nature of the matchup, pitting two of the UFC’s most skilled and experienced athletes against each other.
For those seeking expert insights before placing their wagers, seasoned MMA analyst Kyle Marley from SportsLine has provided his comprehensive predictions and betting advice for UFC 326. Marley boasts an impressive track record, with $100 bettors who have followed his selections over the past three years accumulating nearly $10,000 in profit. Since May 2018, his total returns exceed $21,000, a testament to his consistent accuracy over five years. Notably, Marley successfully predicted five consecutive main-event underdog winners in 2020 following the UFC’s pandemic-induced hiatus and achieved a 9-4 record on his picks at the most recent UFC card.
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Max Holloway: The ‘Blessed’ Era Continues
Max "Blessed" Holloway, a former UFC featherweight champion, is widely regarded as one of the greatest featherweights in the history of mixed martial arts. Beyond his symbolic ‘BMF’ title, which he earned in a memorable contest, Holloway is currently ranked No. 4 in the UFC lightweight division and holds the No. 10 spot in the highly competitive men’s pound-for-pound rankings. His career, spanning since his MMA debut in September 2010, has seen him compile a professional record of 27 wins and 8 losses. His victories include 12 by knockout, two by submission, and 13 by decision, showcasing his versatile skill set, though he is primarily known for his relentless striking volume and exceptional cardio.
Holloway’s journey to the top began with a unanimous decision win over Duke Saragosa at X-1 World Events 36 in Honolulu, Hawaii. He made his UFC debut on February 4, 2012, experiencing a submission loss to Dustin Poirier in what was his featherweight debut. This early career setback, however, fueled his ascent, culminating in him winning the interim UFC featherweight championship in 2016. His first encounter with Charles Oliveira, at UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Oliveira in August 2015, ended in a TKO victory for Holloway due to an injury sustained by Oliveira. Since then, both fighters have evolved significantly, adding layers of anticipation to their rematch. Holloway’s recent win over Poirier at UFC 318, also contested at lightweight, signaled his serious intent to contend for gold in the 155-pound division, demonstrating his ability to carry his high-volume striking and durable chin up a weight class.
Charles Oliveira: ‘Do Bronx’ and the Submission King
Charles "Do Bronx" Oliveira, a fourth-degree black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, is a former UFC lightweight champion whose career is marked by an unparalleled ability to finish fights. Ranked third in the UFC lightweight division, Oliveira holds multiple UFC records, including the most finishes (20) and most submission victories (16) in the promotion’s history. His career began in 2008, where he quickly made a name for himself by winning the Predator FC 9 competition in Sao Paulo, Brazil. Upon joining the UFC in 2010, he embarked on an impressive run, winning his first 14 fights, including his initial two appearances inside the Octagon.
Oliveira’s professional record stands at 36 wins, 11 losses, and one no-contest. His finishing prowess is evident with 10 knockout victories, 22 submission wins, and four decisions. Beyond his statistical achievements, Oliveira has garnered numerous accolades throughout his career, including four "Fight of the Night" bonuses and a remarkable 14 "Performance of the Night" awards. He was also recognized as the No. 3 Newcomer of the Year in 2010 and received "Submission of the Year" honors in 2014 for his spectacular anaconda choke against Hatsu Hioki. Oliveira’s recent submission win over Mateusz Gamrot underscored his elite grappling and validated his position as a top contender, making him a formidable challenge for Holloway in this highly anticipated rematch. His journey back to the top of the lightweight division after losing his title has been a testament to his resilience and continuous improvement in all aspects of his game, blending dangerous stand-up with his world-class ground game.
Co-Main Event and Undercard Highlights
Beyond the main event, UFC 326 features an intriguing co-main event in the middleweight division, pitting seventh-ranked Caio Borralho against eighth-ranked Reinier De Ridder. Borralho, entering as a -250 favorite, will look to continue his ascent in the middleweight rankings against De Ridder, who comes in at +205. Borralho has demonstrated a well-rounded game since joining the UFC, combining effective striking with strong grappling. De Ridder, according to the official rankings, presents a significant challenge, known for his relentless pressure and submission skills.
The main card also includes several other compelling matchups:
- Rob Font (+220) vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (-270): A bantamweight clash pitting veteran experience against youthful exuberance, with Rosas Jr. as a considerable favorite.
- Drew Dober (-120) vs. Michael Johnson (+100): A lightweight battle between two fan-favorite strikers, expected to deliver fireworks, with Dober holding a slight edge in the odds.
- Gregory Rodrigues (-166) vs. Brunno Ferreira (+140): A middleweight encounter featuring two power-punching Brazilians, with Rodrigues favored to win.
Expert Insight from Kyle Marley
Kyle Marley, the accomplished MMA analyst for SportsLine, has meticulously studied the entire UFC 326 card. Among his early preliminary card selections, Marley is backing Luke Fernandez (-218) to secure a victory via knockout over Rodolfo Bellato (+180) in their light heavyweight contest.
"Fernandez is making his UFC debut here after a fast KO win on DWCS, and he has a perfect 6-0 record," Marley stated. "Bellato is well-rounded, so maybe the line is a bit wide against a guy this early in his career, but I do like Fernandez. He has a solid wrestling/grappling base, which I like to give him his biggest edge. He also has big KO power in his hands. I’ll take Fernandez by TKO or decision."
Marley’s comprehensive analysis extends to every bout on the UFC 326 card, including his definitive picks for the Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira 2 main event. He has identified a specific fighter with "a higher work rate" whom he predicts will emerge with a significant victory. Those interested in Marley’s complete betting picks and detailed analysis for all matchups can access them exclusively through SportsLine.
The stage is set for UFC 326 to deliver an evening of high-stakes mixed martial arts action, with the main event rematch between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira promising to significantly impact the trajectory of the lightweight division.
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